On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the narrative leans towards a tightly contested affair, especially in the goal-scoring department. Forest has struggled significantly at home, averaging a mere 0.4 goals over their last five matches while conceding 0.8—a stark contrast to Arsenal's robust away form. However, even the Gunners, who average 1.2 goals on the road, have shown restraint against Forest, scoring just 1.6 goals in recent outings. Both teams’ expected goals (xG) figures paint a picture of underwhelming offensive production, with Forest generating little threat at home. Given their last five matches have seen them net only 0.8 goals and Arsenal's strong defensive record against them, the under 2.5 total goals bet seems like a prudent choice. Expect a strategic battle where defenses prevail, making goals a rare commodity.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal, the signs lean towards a lack of goals, particularly for the home side. Nottingham Forest has struggled to find the net, averaging a meager 0.4 goals at home over their last five matches. With an xG of zero in that span, their offensive woes are palpable. Conversely, Arsenal has been solid defensively, allowing just 0.8 goals on the road in their last five outings. With Forest's recent form showing no wins and only two draws in their last five matches, they’ve failed to score in three of those games. While Arsenal is on a strong run, their ability to shut down a struggling opponent like Forest suggests that a "No" on both teams to score could pay off nicely. It’s a classic case of a high-flying team facing a side that’s lost its attacking spark.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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