On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to face Arsenal, the stats tell a compelling story for betting on under 2.5 total goals. Forest has struggled offensively at home, averaging just 0.4 goals in their last five outings at the City Ground while allowing a mere 0.8. Their expected goals (xG) haven’t fared any better, sitting at zero, suggesting they’re creating few chances and lacking finishing quality. On the flip side, Arsenal, although more potent, have mostly relied on solid defense lately, conceding only 0.8 goals away from home. Their xG numbers also paint a picture of caution, with their attacking output recently not overwhelming. With both teams averaging low goals and Forest's home struggles compounded by Arsenal's resilient defense, it’s hard to envision a high-scoring affair. Expect a tense match that could well stay under that 2.5 total.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to take on Arsenal, the signs point toward a low-scoring affair. Forest’s recent home form is concerning, with a meager average of just 0.4 goals scored in their last five matches at home. Their attack seems stifled, averaging less than four shots on target per game. Against an Arsenal side that's been defensively solid, conceding only 0.8 goals per game away, it’s tough to see Forest breaking through. On the flip side, Arsenal's away performance has been impressive, with a 4-0-1 record, but their average of 1.2 goals scored suggests they might not run riot either. Given Forest's struggles to find the net and Arsenal's strong defensive setup, betting on 'No' for both teams to score feels prudent, especially with the odds favoring this outcome.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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