On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stage is set for a tight encounter that leans towards a low-scoring affair. Forest has struggled at home lately, averaging just 0.4 goals scored in their last five home matches and finding the net only once in their last two home games. Their xG stats back this up, showing a worrying trend of creating minimal chances. On the flip side, Arsenal has been solid but not explosive on the road, netting an average of 1.2 goals while keeping their opponents to a meager 0.8. With both teams’ recent form indicating a lack of offensive firepower, it’s reasonable to expect under 2.5 goals in this matchup. The combination of Forest's defensive focus and Arsenal's pragmatic approach suggests that we might witness a low-key battle rather than an open shootout.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stats paint a clear picture favoring a low-scoring affair. Forest’s recent form at home has been troubling; they’ve averaged just 0.4 goals in their last five home matches. Their struggles are highlighted by a stark xG average of zero, indicating a serious lack of creativity in front of goal. Additionally, they’ve failed to score in three of their last five home matches. On the flip side, Arsenal's away record shows promise, but they’ve been adept at shutting down their opponents, allowing just 0.8 goals per game recently. With Forest’s inability to find the net coupled with Arsenal’s solid defensive shape, betting on 'No' for both teams to score seems to be the wise move. Given the recent trends and statistics, it’s hard to envision a scenario where both teams find the back of the net.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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