On Monday 28 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stage is set for a clash that could lean heavily towards a defensive battle. Forest's recent form at home has been concerning, averaging just 0.4 goals in their last five home matches and conceding only 0.8. Their lack of attacking prowess, highlighted by a meager expected goals (xG) average of zero in that stretch, points to a struggle in breaking down even moderate defenses. On the flip side, Arsenal’s away form has been solid, yet they’ve only managed 1.2 goals per game on the road recently. The Gunners' xG figures echo a similar trend, suggesting they might not find it easy against a well-organized Forest side. With both teams trending towards low-scoring encounters, betting on under 2.5 goals feels like a prudent choice in what could be a tight, tactical affair.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stats paint a clear picture favoring a ‘No’ bet on both teams to score. Forest has struggled at home, averaging a mere 0.4 goals in their last five matches at the City Ground, while their opponents have barely breached the defensive line. With an xG of 0 at home, it’s no surprise they’ve only netted two goals in their last five outings. Meanwhile, Arsenal’s away form has been solid, but they typically rely on a strong defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. Given Forest’s low scoring average and Arsenal's ability to keep clean sheets—especially against weaker sides—this matchup suggests that a lack of goals is more likely than not. Expect a tight encounter where one side may well dominate possession, but finding the net could prove elusive for the hosts.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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