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Model picks & player props
NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Tue 23 Dec 2025, 4:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh Penguins
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 4 markets for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs and backs Pittsburgh Penguins hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $208.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pittsburgh Penguins
to win
Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$20.80Best price+108
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.6%
The price says48.1%

The model graded 4 markets for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $208 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 23 Dec 2025, 4:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Pittsburgh Penguins High61% chance +108
Moneyline Members only High63% chance Members
Spread Members only High70% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs last met on Tue 23 Dec 2025. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
+108
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,873+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PenguinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Justin Brazeau RWOut
  • Elmer Soderblom LWOut
  • Bryan Rust RWOut
  • Trevor van Riemsdyk DOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Kirill Marchenko RWOut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Nick Blankenburg DOut
  • Marshall Rifai DOut
  • John Tavares COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut
Availability updated Oct 29, 5:28PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2VANAway
L4–5SEAAway
L2–5CGYAway
W7–2EDMAway
W5–4NYRHome
Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5MTLAway
L3–4UTAHome
W3–2NSHHome
W4–0FLAHome
L4–5UTAAway

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Kirill Marchenko RWOUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Nick Blankenburg DOUT
Marshall Rifai DOUT
John Tavares COUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT
Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Justin Brazeau RWOUT
Elmer Soderblom LWOUT
Bryan Rust RWOUT
Trevor van Riemsdyk DOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Toronto Maple Leafs playing Pittsburgh Penguins. Includes analysis on key players like Anthony Stolarz. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins stats and odds.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins : Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 is supported by several key statistics. The Penguins have a strong away record, winning 4 out of their last 5 away games, with an average of 3.2 goals per game and only 2 goals against per game. This suggests they have been effective at both scoring and defending in away games. Additionally, the Leafs have an equal average of goals scored and goals against in their last 5 games, indicating they have struggled to outscore their opponents. Furthermore, the Penguins have demonstrated a robust defensive performance, with lower average goals against both at away games and overall compared to the Leafs. While the Leafs have had a better record against the Penguins, recent performance indicates the Penguins have the capacity to keep the game within 1.5 goals.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Penguins vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Penguins. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 23 December 2025 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Montreal Canadiens 4-5
  2. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Utah Mammoth 3-4
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Nashville Predators 3-2
  4. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs Florida Panthers 4-0
  5. 19 Oct 2026Lostat Utah Mammoth 4-5

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Vancouver Canucks 4-2
  2. 28 Oct 2026Lostat Seattle Kraken 4-5
  3. 26 Oct 2026Lostat Calgary Flames 2-5
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Edmonton Oilers 7-2
  5. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Rangers 5-4

Quick answers

How have Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs done lately? Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Playing fantasy? NHL fantasy projections for today — the same model, scored your way.

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