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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Scheifele is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +5.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:04PM UTC
NHL

Mark Scheifele

Winnipeg Jets

+5.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
+5.9% Edge
Edmonton Oilers @ Winnipeg Jets
Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, FUT · Indoor
Fri 9 Jan, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.3%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+5.9%
Predicted Value
2.8 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal71.3%65.4%1.40+5.9%

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AI Analysis

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Mark Scheifele (Winnipeg Jets) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mark Scheifele is a strong choice for the Over 1.5 'Player Shots On Goal' market, as backed by his consistent performance. His overall shots average in the last five games is 3.4, which is substantially above the line set for this bet. Although his average slightly dips to 1.8 at home, it still hovers around the required line. The model predicts that Scheifele will land 2.78 shots on goal, which substantiates the Over 1.5 bet, even after considering a standard deviation of 1.39. Moreover, Scheifele has a recent history of exceeding the bet line with a hit rate of 4 out of his last 5 games, demonstrating his ability to consistently produce results. Despite a zero hit streak at home games, his past performance and model prediction suggest a strong probability of him surpassing the 1.5 shots on goal line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Mark Scheifele has 2 goals and 13 assists (15 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
16 Apr 26vs SJS0000018:34
14 Apr 26@ UTA1122021:14
13 Apr 26@ VGK1122021:02
11 Apr 26vs PHI0003020:22
9 Apr 26@ STL0221020:21
6 Apr 26vs SEA0334022:44
4 Apr 26@ CBJ0221122:39
2 Apr 26@ DAL0002123:08
31 Mar 26@ CHI0331020:32
28 Mar 26@ COL0112023:51
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mark Scheifele (Winnipeg Jets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Scheifele is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is Edmonton Oilers vs Winnipeg Jets on Friday 9 January at Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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