Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
NHL
Delta Center, Utah
Indoor
Sat 24 Oct 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2 · 2-2 awayWLWWW
VS
Utah Mammoth
7-4 · 3-1 at homeWWLWL

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth Prediction & Picks · Sat 24 Oct

Our model graded 7 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth and backs Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $152.

6
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tampa Bay Lightning
with a 1.5-goal head start
Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$15.21Best price-192
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.5%
The price says64.5%

The model graded 7 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $152 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 Oct 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 High65% chance -192
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High79% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean41% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean53% chance Members
Goals × 1 prop Long-shotup to 3% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Utah Mammoth are the model's favourite to beat Tampa Bay Lightning, with a 52% chance to win. Kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center. Best bet: Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 at -192.
How they've been scoring this season
Tampa Bay LightningUtah Mammoth
Won-lost7-27-4
Goals scored per game3.43.7
Goals allowed per game2.63.3
On the road / at home2-2 away3-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWLWWWWWLWL
Their games average 6.5 total goals this season.
From the 9 Tampa Bay Lightning and 11 Utah Mammoth games on our books this season.
Unlock every pick for this game

How the price moved

When prices opened: Utah Mammoth about 6 in 10 to win.

All NHL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1.5
+ 5 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 6 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,496+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay Lightning3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay Lightning3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Tampa Bay Lightning on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Tampa Bay Lightning
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Victor Hedman DDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut

Utah Mammoth

  • John Marino DDay-to-day
  • Michael Carcone LWOut
  • Maveric Lamoureux DOut
Availability updated Oct 24, 4:55AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 24 Oct

Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

On October 24, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Tampa Bay Lightning To Win (+122), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning To Win (+122)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Tampa Bay Lightning need to outscore the Utah Mammoth to secure a win tonight. Both teams have players who are still finding their footing, with many on each side not hitting double digits in game appearances yet. This means that both teams might struggle with consistency. However, the Lightning have a good mix of skill, with more players shooting left than right, which can create some interesting plays. Plus, being in the 2026-27 season, they have a chance to build on their strengths. The matchup is close, so the Lightning could face a tough challenge, but they have the potential to come out on top.

Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 3rd Period Puck Line (-161)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this bet to work, the Tampa Bay Lightning need to either win the third period or finish it in a tie. They've been doing well lately, winning seven out of their last ten games. The Lightning have a solid team that can score goals and also hold their ground, which makes them a strong pick for this bet. The Utah Mammoth have been tough too, but they block a lot of shots and land plenty of hits, which can make scoring harder. The Lightning might face some challenges due to their left-handed shooters, as most of their players shoot from that side. However, with their current form, this bet has a good chance of hitting tonight.

Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3-Way Moneyline (+180)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For the Tampa Bay Lightning to win tonight, they just need to outscore the Utah Mammoth. Both teams have been strong lately, with the Lightning winning 7 of their last 10 games. They also have a solid lineup, with most players shooting left, which could match up well against the Mammoth's defense. The Mammoth are tough at home, but they're not unbeatable. They block a lot of shots and land plenty of hits, which could make scoring tricky. However, the Lightning have shown they can handle pressure, and the odds suggest they have a real chance as the underdogs. Just keep in mind, the Mammoth's home advantage could make this a closer game than expected.

Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning: John Carlson Over 1.5 Goals (+8000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on over 1.5 goals for John Carlson at +8000 offers a nice payoff for a little risk. Both the Utah Mammoth and Tampa Bay Lightning have been scoring well lately, each winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Mammoth are particularly aggressive, landing almost 28 hits per game, which suggests they're not shy about getting into the action on the ice. Carlson has a chance to find the back of the net, especially with the Lightning's left-heavy shooting lineup. However, given how close both teams are in recent performance, it's possible he might not get the opportunities needed to score. Still, this bet could pay off big if Carlson finds his groove!

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 24 Oct

Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Utah Mammoth play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Mikhail Sergachev (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Points, priced at -192 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Mikhail Sergachev (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Points (-192)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Mikhail Sergachev (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Points. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nick Schmaltz (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Points (-213)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Nick Schmaltz (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Points. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Logan Cooley (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Assists (+112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Logan Cooley (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Assists. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Utah Mammoth v Tampa Bay Lightning. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Mikhail Sergachev Utah Mammoth Goals

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay Lightning+122
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.6GA/G3.4Shots/G30.2vs Mammoth3-1

Model leans Tampa Bay Lightning to win, a 48% moneyline pick over Utah Mammoth.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning +1.5+1.5 -192
73%model cover %
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.6GA/G3.4Shots/G30.2vs Mammoth3-1

Model backs Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 on the puck line, a 73% cover vs Utah Mammoth.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth — 6 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth — recent results

Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 4 of their last 5.

Utah Mammoth — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–5SEAAway
W5–4PITHome
L2–6EDMHome
W4–2EDMAway
W5–4TORHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–2VGKAway
W4–2VANHome
W4–3SEAHome
L1–4NYRAway
W5–3NYIAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Utah Mammoth won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateUtah MammothTampa Bay LightningWinner
Jan 2702Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Utah Mammoth
PlayerStatus
John Marino DDAY-TO-DAY
Michael Carcone LWOUT
Maveric Lamoureux DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Victor Hedman DDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth — where the money went

Since betting opened on Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth, the market has moved away from Tampa Bay Lightning across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Tampa Bay Lightning▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Utah Mammoth▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 6.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Utah Mammoth -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth — model preview

Utah Mammoth v Tampa Bay Lightning, 24 October 2026. Top of the list: Nick Schmaltz (Utah Mammoth) Over 0.5 Points. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On October 24, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Tampa Bay Lightning To Win (+122), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Mammoth, or as Mammoth vs Lightning. The next scheduled game is Saturday 24 October 2026 at Delta Center. The model has generated 6 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Tue 27 Jan 2026, Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning: the Lightning won 2-0.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Jan 2026Utah Mammoth @ Tampa Bay Lightning2–0Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.