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NHL

Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Brandon Hagel (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $270 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
0.6 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.8% · the book's price implies 37.0% · gap +17.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights
T-Mobile Arena, Vegas, FUT · Indoor
Tue 20 Oct, 10:30 PM ET
Brandon Hagel
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 +170 (2.70) · $100→$270
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$27.00 Odds+170
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Hagel is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 37%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 20, 2:06AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals54.8%—37.0%1.82+17.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 Goals (+170)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brandon Hagel has been making a name for himself with the Tampa Bay Lightning, and he's shown he can find the net. Both the Golden Knights and the Lightning are scoring well lately, with Vegas winning 7 of their last 10 games and Tampa taking 6 of their last 10. This matchup is set to be exciting with both teams in good form. The bet is for Hagel to score at least once against Vegas. The risk here is that both teams' defenses can tighten up, especially in a close game. Still, with the way Hagel has been playing and the chances he gets, taking a shot on him scoring feels right.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brandon Hagel's lines for Wed 21 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5
+165 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 3 of the last 10 games

Brandon Hagel's goals line is 0.5, best over price +165 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

Recent game log

Brandon Hagel has 7 goals and 5 assists (12 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
17 Oct 26vs VAN0115020:10
15 Oct 26vs SEA2026123:24
13 Oct 26@ NYR0001120:57
10 Oct 26@ NYI3146321:32
8 Oct 26vs MIN0113022:55
5 Oct 26vs PHI1018020:11
3 Oct 26vs WSH0226022:07
1 Oct 26@ NYR0003123:40
15 Apr 26vs NYR0005020:16
11 Apr 26@ BOS1014018:46
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brandon Hagel (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Hagel is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights on Tuesday 20 October at T-Mobile Arena, Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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