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Model picks & player props
Miami Dolphins
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:52PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Pittsburgh
Tue 16 Dec 2025, 1:15AM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Miami Dolphins Moneyline +140

The model graded 6 markets for Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $240 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 16 Dec 2025, 1:15AM at Pittsburgh.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.6%
The price says41.7%
Best price+140
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Miami Dolphins Lean55% chance +140
Spread High61% chance —
Total Points Lean55% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 42.5 · $100 returned $192

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Miami Dolphins
+140
+ 5 more markets
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All 6 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami DolphinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Dolphins

  • Will Kacmarek TEQuestionable
  • Jacob Rodriguez LBQuestionable
  • Cole Turner TEOut
  • Kenneth Grant DTQuestionable
  • Trey Moore LBOut
  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBQuestionable
  • Ollie Gordon II RBQuestionable
  • Zach Sieler DTQuestionable
  • Ben Sims TEQuestionable
  • Lonnie Johnson Jr. SQuestionable
  • Rene Konga DTOut

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Will Howard QBQuestionable
  • DK Metcalf WRQuestionable
  • Michael Pittman Jr. WRQuestionable
  • Jalen Ramsey CBQuestionable
  • Brandon Smith WRQuestionable
  • Logan Lee DTOut
  • Jaquan Brisker SQuestionable
  • Cole Burgess WROut
  • Brandin Echols CBQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 29, 9:03PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadPittsburgh Steelers spreadNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsDolphins @ SteelersNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers — recent results

Pittsburgh Steelers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 4.

Pittsburgh Steelers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L27–28BUFAway
L0–17NYJHome
W28–9GBHome
L6–30HOUHome
W26–24BALHome
Miami Dolphins — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L12–17ATLHome
L3–26NYGHome
L7–20WSHAway
L10–38NEAway

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Steelers
PlayerStatus
Will Howard QBQUESTIONABLE
DK Metcalf WRQUESTIONABLE
Michael Pittman Jr. WRQUESTIONABLE
Jalen Ramsey CBQUESTIONABLE
Brandon Smith WRQUESTIONABLE
Logan Lee DTOUT
Jaquan Brisker SQUESTIONABLE
Cole Burgess WROUT
Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Will Kacmarek TEQUESTIONABLE
Jacob Rodriguez LBQUESTIONABLE
Cole Turner TEOUT
Kenneth Grant DTQUESTIONABLE
Trey Moore LBOUT
Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBQUESTIONABLE
Ollie Gordon II RBQUESTIONABLE
Zach Sieler DTQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Dec 25 Spread Pittsburgh Steelers -3 ✓ HIT
16 Dec 25 Total Points Over 42.5 ✓ HIT
16 Dec 25 Moneyline Miami Dolphins ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Dolphins vs Steelers, or as Steelers vs Dolphins. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 16 December 2025 at Pittsburgh. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
Pittsburgh Steelers 3–2 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 39.4 points (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
15 Dec 2025Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers28–15Pittsburgh Steelers
23 Oct 2022Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins16–10Miami Dolphins
28 Oct 2019Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers27–14Pittsburgh Steelers
8 Jan 2017Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers30–12Pittsburgh Steelers
16 Oct 2016Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins30–15Miami Dolphins
Today's selected board

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