Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) Over 11.5 Points (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the New York Knicks face off against the Washington Wizards, keep a close eye on Alex Sarr. This young talent has been on a roll lately, averaging 12.8 points over his last five games, and he's even better on the road, with 13.4 points in away games. His recent performance against the Wizards has been promising, averaging 13.6 points in their past encounters. The numbers speak volumes: he's hit the over 11.5 points in 13 of his last 17 games, and a staggering 16 out of his last 20 away games. The implied probability of hitting this mark sits at a solid 62.5%, and with an expected stat value nudging up to 17.59, it's hard to ignore. With the Knicks in need of offensive firepower, Sarr is poised to deliver, making the over on 11.5 points a smart play in this matchup.

Mohamed Diawara (New York Knicks) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Mohamed Diawara, but betting on him to sink more than 1.5 threes might be a stretch. Sure, Diawara has shown flashes of brilliance, but he's averaging just one three-pointer made in his last five outings, with a slightly better 1.6 at home. When you dig deeper, his performance against the Wizards is telling; in their recent matchups, he's only managed to hit 0.5 threes on average, and shockingly, none in their last home game against them.With a solid hit rate of 17 out of 20 at home, it's clear Diawara can find his groove, but expecting him to clear 1.5 threes against a Wizards defense that knows how to limit his range seems optimistic. The odds suggest the under might just be the smart play here.

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 12.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mikal Bridges is primed for a standout performance against the Washington Wizards this Sunday. Playing at Madison Square Garden, he's averaged nearly 14 points in his last five home games, and with the Wizards' defense struggling, this could be a golden opportunity. Historically, Bridges has found success against Washington, netting an impressive 19.8 points per game at home against them. With an expected stat value of 16.48 points, hitting the over on 12.5 feels not only achievable but likely, especially given his recent form where he's been pushing closer to 14 points on average. The Wizards' tendency to allow high-scoring games adds another layer to this narrative. If Bridges can capitalize on his home-court advantage and exploit the Wizards' frailties, we should see him comfortably surpass that 12.5 mark. Betting on the over here seems like a smart, data-backed play.

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