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The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Riley is Under 3.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 46%, for a model edge of +26.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:52AM UTC
NBA

Will Riley

Washington Wizards

+26.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 3.5 +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
+26.5% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
72.8%
Implied Probability
46.3%
Model Edge
+26.5%
Predicted Value
2.4 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists72.8%46.3%1.37+26.5%

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AI Analysis

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Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 3.5 Assists (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards prepare to host the Chicago Bulls, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Will Riley. While his potential is undeniable, the numbers suggest a compelling case for taking the under on his assists at 3.5. Riley has shown flashes of brilliance, but let's not forget that he's been held under this mark in 10 of his last 13 home games. The Wizards' offensive flow often revolves around other key players, which limits his distribution opportunities. Plus, with a recent overall hit rate of 4 out of 5 falling under this threshold, there's a solid trend working in our favor. The Bulls' defense, too, has tightened up recently, making it tougher for any one player to rack up assists. When the ball moves, Riley may find himself more as a scorer than a facilitator. In a game where he's likely to play a supporting role, the under seems like a savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers MadeSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active 3-Pointers Made prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Will Riley has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Will Riley (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Riley is Under 3.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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