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NBA

Will Riley

Washington Wizards

+37.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 21.5 -114 (1.88)
+37.7% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
90.9%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+37.7%
Predicted Value
13.8 Points

AI Analysis

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Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 21.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards gear up to face the Chicago Bulls, all eyes will be on Will Riley, but betting on him to go under 21.5 points seems like the savvy move. Let's face it: Riley has been on a tear lately, but the numbers tell a different story. In his last 20 games, he's exceeded this point total only four times, and at home? That's a perfect 20-for-20 hitting the under. With the Bulls likely deploying a strong defensive strategy, Riley may find it tougher to navigate through their lanes. Plus, the expected stat value sits at just 13.75 points, a significant drop from that lofty number. Given the Wizards' recent trend and the defensive matchup, betting on Riley to stay under 21.5 points feels like a calculated and informed choice. Let's see if he can prove us wrong, but history seems to favor the under here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 80.0% (8/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points 21.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 25.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 26.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Asts — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Will Riley (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (8/10). The latest model pick for Will Riley is Under 21.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +37.7% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.