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The latest Bet Better model pick for Victor Wembanyama is Under 14.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +10.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs

+10.7% Edge
🔥 9 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 14.5 -556 (1.18)
+10.7% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
95.4%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+10.7%
Predicted Value
10.4 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds95.4%—84.7%1.05+10.7%

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AI Analysis

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Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs prepare to face the Knicks at home, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but the savvy bettor might want to consider the under on his rebounds at 14.5. While Wembanyama has shown he can dominate the glass-averaging 11 rebounds against the Knicks in his last five matchups-his recent home performance tells a different story. He's been pulling down just 8.6 boards at home over his last five games. Even more compelling is his overall trend; he has hit the under on this mark in his last nine outings. The Spurs' game plan might not require him to play the role of primary rebounder, especially with the Knicks' style of play limiting second-chance opportunities. With an implied probability of 84.7%, betting under on Wembanyama's rebounds could be a smart move, capitalizing on his recent form and the matchups at play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.1avg · last 10
L51.6Szn3.0Home3.1Away2.9Best8
1+96%
2+73%
3+50%
4+38%
5+21%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.1 · hi 5 · lo 0
3522115101

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 2.1 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.0, best 8). He clears 3+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.7avg · last 10
L52.4Szn3.5Home3.0Away4.0Best11
2+81%
4+48%
6+15%
8+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 2.7 · hi 5 · lo 0
4152344400

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 2.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.5, best 11). He clears 4+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
58%DD rate
58%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1070%Home61%Away56%
Game log · double-double7 / 10 DD

Victor Wembanyama posted a double-double in 58% of 2024-25 games (7 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.3avg · last 10
L516.6Szn23.6Home23.4Away23.8Best50
14+88%
19+71%
24+50%
29+27%
34+17%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 20.3 · hi 31 · lo 6
2330272416183117611

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 20.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.6, best 50). He clears 24+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
23.0avg · last 10
L519.0Szn27.1Home26.4Away27.7Best52
17+85%
22+75%
27+50%
32+35%
37+13%
Game log vs O 26.5avg 23 · hi 35 · lo 6
2731322619223521611

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 23.0 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 27.1, best 52). He clears 27+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
30.6avg · last 10
L525.4Szn34.3Home34.0Away34.5Best60
24+85%
29+73%
34+56%
39+29%
44+17%
Game log vs O 33.5avg 30.6 · hi 46 · lo 10
35443736272746301014

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 30.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 34.3, best 60). He clears 34+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
33.3avg · last 10
L527.8Szn37.8Home37.0Away38.5Best67
28+81%
33+73%
38+54%
43+27%
48+15%
Game log vs O 37.5avg 33.3 · hi 50 · lo 10
39454238303150341014

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 33.3 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 37.8, best 67). He clears 38+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
10.3avg · last 10
L58.8Szn10.7Home10.6Away10.8Best23
7+88%
9+67%
11+46%
13+29%
15+13%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.3 · hi 15 · lo 3
12141012119151343

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 10.3 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.7, best 23). He clears 11+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
13.0avg · last 10
L511.2Szn14.2Home13.6Away14.7Best27
8+94%
11+75%
14+56%
17+27%
20+15%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 13 · hi 19 · lo 3
161515141413191743

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 13.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.2, best 27). He clears 14+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 14.5 Under -556 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 13.5 Under -333 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -139 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Victor Wembanyama is currently on a 9-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Victor Wembanyama is Under 14.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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