Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
NBA

Keldon Johnson

San Antonio Spurs

+20.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 11.5 +102 (2.02)
+20.2% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami
Mon 23 Mar, 11:00PM
Model Probability
69.7%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+20.2%
Predicted Value
14.5 Points

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 11.5 Points (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs visit Miami, all eyes should be on Keldon Johnson, who seems poised to exceed his points prop of 11.5. In his last five games, he's averaged a robust 13.8 points, showcasing his ability to step up when it matters. While his average on the road dips slightly to 10.8, he has found a rhythm against the Heat, scoring an average of 12.5 points in their recent matchups.Moreover, Johnson has hit the over in two of his last three games, which includes consistent performances even in hostile environments. With an expected stat value of 14.49, the numbers suggest he's more than capable of surpassing that threshold. The Spurs will rely on him to keep pace in a potentially high-scoring affair, making the Over 11.5 a compelling choice. Expect Johnson to rise to the occasion and deliver when it counts.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat Points 11.5 Over +102 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 5.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -128 ✗ MISS

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Keldon Johnson is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat on Monday 23 March at Kaseya Center, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.