Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 5.5 Points (-154)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the New York Knicks, Keldon Johnson stands out as a prime candidate for the over on 5.5 points. Johnson has been consistently stepping up at home, boasting an impressive hit rate where he's surpassed this threshold in 15 of his last 19 home games. The Knicks have historically struggled to contain players like Johnson, and at home, he's averaged a solid 9.6 points against them in recent matchups. While his overall average has hovered around 5.2 in the last five games, the home court advantage can't be overlooked. Johnson's expected stat value of 11.17 suggests he's due for a breakout. With a 60.6% implied probability backing this bet, it feels like a no-brainer to ride with Johnson to deliver the goods in front of the home crowd.