Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 5.5 Points (-147)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingWhen the Spurs host the Knicks, Keldon Johnson looks primed to exceed 5.5 points-a mark he's surpassed with impressive regularity. At home, he's been a scoring machine, hitting the over in 15 of his last 19 games. The Spurs' offense thrives on home cooking, and Johnson's recent average of 9.6 points against New York at the AT&T Center speaks volumes about his ability to step up against this opponent.While his overall average might dip to 5.2 points in the last five games, that figure doesn't tell the whole story. The Knicks have struggled with perimeter defense, and Johnson has the potential to exploit that weakness. Given his expected stat value of 11.17 and the solid implied probability of 59.5%, betting on Keldon to clear the 5.5-point hurdle looks like a savvy play that aligns perfectly with the matchup dynamics.