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NBA

Keldon Johnson

San Antonio Spurs

+21.0% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Points Over 11.5 +111 (2.11)
+21.0% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Mon 20 Apr, 1:00AM
Model Probability
68.4%
Implied Probability
47.4%
Model Edge
+21.0%
Predicted Value
14.3 Points

AI Analysis

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Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 11.5 Points (+111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Keldon Johnson is poised for a breakout performance against the Portland Trail Blazers, and taking the over on 11.5 points feels like a savvy move. Playing at home, he's been on fire, averaging 16.6 points over his last five games in San Antonio. Even more impressive, he's hit the over in each of his last six home games, showcasing a remarkable consistency that we can trust.While his overall average against the Blazers hovers around 9.8 points, it jumps significantly to 14.8 when the game is in San Antonio. This bodes well, especially considering his recent form-he's scored over 11.5 points in each of the last four outings. With an expected stat value of 14.28, it seems clear that Johnson will not only meet but likely exceed this threshold. With the Spurs needing a boost, he's primed to deliver.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 5.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
23 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat Points 11.5 Over +102 ✗ MISS
22 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 5.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). Keldon Johnson is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Keldon Johnson is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Monday 20 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.