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Model picks & player props
Dallas Mavericks
VS
New York Knicks

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 9:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: New York Knicks -10.5 (Spread)
The model graded 5 markets for Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 80.3%, fair odds 1.24, book price -110, model edge +28.0%.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Knicks
-10.5
-110
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York KnicksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Mavericks

  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 27, 6:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDallas Mavericks @ New York KnicksNo line posted

New York Knicks and Dallas Mavericks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew York Knicks spreadNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) meet Dallas Mavericks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew York Knicks to winNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) host or visit Dallas Mavericks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks — recent results

New York Knicks have won 4 of their last 5 games; Dallas Mavericks have won 0 of their last 0.

New York Knicks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W94–90SAAway
W107–106SAHome
L111–115SAHome
W105–104SAAway
W105–95SAAway

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Knicks
PlayerStatus
Mohamed Diawara FDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Brunson GDAY-TO-DAY
Dallas Mavericks
PlayerStatus
Kyrie Irving GDAY-TO-DAY
Santi Aldama FDAY-TO-DAY
Dereck Lively II CDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks — model preview

Deep dive into New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks : New York Knicks Under 130.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'New York Knicks Under 130.5' is a data-driven choice based on the team's scoring performance. The New York Knicks have scored an average of 125.4 points overall in their last five games and 125.2 points in their last five home games specifically. Both averages fall under the set outcome point of 130.5. The model prediction also supports this bet, estimating the Knicks to score around 112.19 points, which is significantly lower than the bet's threshold. While the Knicks do have a positive win-loss record in their recent games (3-2), their scoring averages still do not surpass the 130.5 points mark. Therefore, statistical analysis suggests that it is highly probable that the Knicks will score under 130.5 points in the upcoming game against the Dallas Mavericks.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Mavericks vs Knicks, or as Knicks vs Mavericks. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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