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Model picks & player props
Dallas Mavericks
VS
New York Knicks

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:11PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Knicks -10.5 (Point Spread)
For Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks (NBA), model win probability 80.3%, fair odds 1.24, book price -110, model edge +28.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
New York Knicks
-10.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York KnicksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Mavericks

  • Morez Johnson Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day
  • Naji Marshall FDay-to-day
  • Cooper Flagg FDay-to-day
  • P.J. Washington FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Martin FDay-to-day
  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 2:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDallas Mavericks @ New York KnicksNo line posted

New York Knicks and Dallas Mavericks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew York Knicks spreadNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) meet Dallas Mavericks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew York Knicks to winNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) host or visit Dallas Mavericks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks — model preview

<p>Deep dive into New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks : New York Knicks Under 130.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'New York Knicks Under 130.5' is a data-driven choice based on the team's scoring performance. The New York Knicks have scored an average of 125.4 points overall in their last five games and 125.2 points in their last five home games specifically. Both averages fall under the set outcome point of 130.5. The model prediction also supports this bet, estimating the Knicks to score around 112.19 points, which is significantly lower than the bet's threshold. While the Knicks do have a positive win-loss record in their recent games (3-2), their scoring averages still do not surpass the 130.5 points mark. Therefore, statistical analysis suggests that it is highly probable that the Knicks will score under 130.5 points in the upcoming game against the Dallas Mavericks.

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks : Dallas Mavericks Over 99.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Dallas Mavericks Over 99.5' is a strong choice due to their recent scoring performance. Despite their overall losing record in the last five games, the Mavericks have consistently scored high. Their average score over these games is 120.8 points, significantly above the 99.5 point target for this bet. Even when looking specifically at their away games, the Mavericks have maintained an average of 118.2 points. This demonstrates their capacity to consistently score high, regardless of the venue. Given these statistics, it's reasonable to predict that the Mavericks will exceed 99.5 points in the upcoming game against the Knicks.

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks : Dallas Mavericks win (+330)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Dallas Mavericks are a solid bet for the Moneyline market based on their recent performance against the New York Knicks. In their last five matchups, the Mavericks have won both times, indicating a trend of dominance over the Knicks. This historical edge over the opponent is a significant factor to consider. Additionally, while the Mavericks have a poor away record, the Knicks' home record isn't overwhelmingly strong either, with only a slight advantage. Furthermore, the scoring statistics reveal a closer competition, with the Mavericks not far behind the Knicks in terms of overall and away scores. Therefore, despite the Mavericks' recent overall performance, their specific record against the Knicks and competitive scoring make them a reasonable bet in this game.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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