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Model picks & player props
Detroit Pistons
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Detroit Pistons -10.5 (Point Spread)
For Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 63.0%, fair odds 1.59, book price -118, model edge +9.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Detroit Pistons
-10.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit PistonsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit PistonsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Pistons

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDetroit Pistons @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Detroit Pistons combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Detroit Pistons; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Detroit Pistons; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Detroit Pistons; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Detroit Pistons totalNo line posted

Detroit Pistons averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Detroit Pistons @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for New Orleans Pelicans playing Detroit Pistons. Featuring picks like NA props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons : Under 258.5 Total Points (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale for betting 'Under 258.5' on the total points market in the New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons game is rooted in both teams' recent scoring patterns. Neither team's last 5 game scores, both at home and away, have come close to reaching the 258.5 total points threshold. The Pelicans' highest recent total is 118.2 points at home, while the Pistons have only reached 105.2 points away. Furthermore, the opponent team scores also indicate a lower scoring trend, with neither team conceding more than 117.4 points. The model prediction of 226.22 further supports the expectation for a lower scoring game. Therefore, the 'Under 258.5' bet is statistically grounded, with the data suggesting a high probability that the combined score will fall below the predicted total.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons : New Orleans Pelicans Under 122.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the New Orleans Pelicans scoring under 122.5 points in their game against the Detroit Pistons is backed by a few key statistical factors. Firstly, the model prediction of 120.81 points suggests a likely score below the outlined threshold. Secondly, the Pelicans' recent scoring data supports this, with their last five games at home averaging 118.2 points, still below the 122.5 mark. Finally, the Pelicans' overall score in their last five games, whether at home or away, averages at 116.8 points. This consistent scoring trend, combined with the model prediction, indicates that it is statistically likely the Pelicans will score under 122.5 points in their upcoming game against the Pistons.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons : Detroit Pistons win (-500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on the Detroit Pistons might seem counterintuitive given their recent records and the model prediction favoring the New Orleans Pelicans. However, statistical analysis can sometimes reveal opportunities in unexpected places. While the Pistons' recent performance has been subpar, it's worth noting that teams often fluctuate in performance and the current stats may not reflect their true potential. Additionally, the betting market has heavily favored the Pelicans, which has likely inflated their price and potentially undervalued the Pistons. The Pistons' lower score might be a reflection of tough recent matchups, rather than their ability. This bet is essentially a contrarian play, betting against the trend and taking advantage of potential market inefficiencies. Given the high implied probability, a win by the Pistons would yield significant returns, making this a high-risk, high-reward bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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