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Model picks & player props
Chicago Bulls
VS
Minnesota Timberwolves

Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Chicago Bulls 9.5 (Point Spread)
For Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA), model win probability 83.2%, fair odds 1.20, book price -110, model edge +30.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Chicago Bulls
9.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago BullsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BullsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TimberwolvesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Bulls

  • Noa Essengue FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Wilson FDay-to-day
  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Smith FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Nic Claxton CDay-to-day
  • Isaac Okoro FDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Joan Beringer FDay-to-day
  • Donte DiVincenzo GOut
Availability updated Jul 18, 2:35AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsChicago Bulls @ Minnesota TimberwolvesNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves and Chicago Bulls combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMinnesota Timberwolves spreadNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves (season record) meet Chicago Bulls; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves to winNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves (season record) host or visit Chicago Bulls; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Minnesota Timberwolves totalNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Minnesota Timberwolves; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Chicago Bulls @ Minnesota Timberwolves — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls : Minnesota Timberwolves Under 134.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Minnesota Timberwolves scoring under 134.5 points is substantiated by their recent scoring statistics. Over their last five games, the Timberwolves averaged 117.4 points and 111.2 points at home, both significantly below the outcome point of 134.5. Additionally, their opponents, the Bulls, have allowed an average of 114.2 points over the same period, suggesting a defensive performance that could limit the Timberwolves' scoring. The model prediction also supports this outcome, estimating the Timberwolves to score only 116.8 points. With a high implied probability of 84.7%, the data indicates a strong likelihood of the Timberwolves scoring under 134.5 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls Over 104.5 Team Total Points (-500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Chicago Bulls Over 104.5' for the Team Total Points is strongly supported by recent statistical performance. The Bulls' scoring record in their last five games, both overall and away, comfortably exceeds the target of 104.5, recording average scores of 108.6 and 111.6 respectively. The model prediction further substantiates this, projecting a score of 116.8 for the Bulls. Their recent success on the road, illustrated by a 3-2 record, indicates that playing away from home isn't a significant hindrance to their scoring ability. Therefore, based on their consistent high scoring and the model’s prediction, betting on the Bulls to score over 104.5 points in this game is a compelling choice.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls 9.5 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Chicago Bulls +9.5 is a statistically sound choice given the recent performances of both teams. The Bulls have a stronger away record (3-2) compared to the Timberwolves' home record (2-3). Furthermore, the Bulls' score on the road (111.6) is slightly better than the Timberwolves' home score (111.2). The model prediction also suggests a smaller point difference (-2.61) than the point spread of 9.5. Additionally, the Bulls have been more effective defensively, as indicated by the lower opponent team score in their last five away games (108) compared to the Timberwolves' home games (113.2). This indicates that the Bulls are likely to keep the game close, making them a good choice with a 9.5 point head start.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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