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Jaden McDaniels

Minnesota Timberwolves

Value call

Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) has one live pick today: under 23.5 pts asts that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
17.0 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.6% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +32.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 10:30 PM ET
Jaden McDaniels
under 23.5 pts asts
Pts + Asts Under 23.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
HIGHWins about 85 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.10 Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaden McDaniels is Under 23.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 85%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:50AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
McDaniels (rest) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Heat.
updated Oct 10, 11:47PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts84.6%—52.4%1.18+32.2%

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AI Analysis

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Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 23.5 Points + Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming showdown between the Timberwolves and the Nuggets, it's tough to see Jaden McDaniels surpassing the 23.5 points plus assists mark. His recent form reflects a steady dip, averaging just 18.8 points and 2 assists over his last five games. When he hits the road, that number drops even further, with just 14 points and 2 assists per game. Against the Nuggets, McDaniels has shown a slight uptick, averaging around 18.6 points, but that's still not enough against a Denver defense that knows how to contain threats. With a hit rate of 15 out of his last 16 games hitting the under, and particularly a perfect 9 for 9 on the road, the signs all point to a night where McDaniels struggles to find his groove. Betting the under feels like a smart move here, as he likely won't reach that 23.5 threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jaden McDaniels — 2024-25 season averages

Over 91 games in the 2024-25 season, Jaden McDaniels averaged 12.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 32.3 minutes per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 33.4% from three-point range.

12.5
PPG
5.8
RPG
1.9
APG
1.3
SPG
0.9
BPG
32.3
MPG
48.7%
FG%
33.4%
3P%

Jaden McDaniels — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jaden McDaniels has played 34.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

34.2
MPG (L5)
12.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jaden McDaniels — points hit rate

Jaden McDaniels has scored over 11.5 points in 24% of 136 career games.

o11.524%
o12.520%
o15.510%

Jaden McDaniels — home vs away scoring

At home Jaden McDaniels averages 13.2 points per game; on the road, 11.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.2
PPG at home
11.8
PPG on the road

Jaden McDaniels — scoring by opponent

Jaden McDaniels scores most against the SAC, averaging 12.6 points per game in that matchup.

12.6
SAC
12.2
OKC
12.0
DAL
11.3
DEN
11.1
CHI
10.7
LAL

Jaden McDaniels — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jaden McDaniels has averaged 14.8 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ GS4010132
10 May@ GS421561
8 Mayvs GS331620
6 Mayvs GS381241
30 Apr@ LAL18830
27 Aprvs LAL3816113
25 Aprvs LAL383051
22 Apr@ LAL38841
19 Apr@ LAL332592
13 Aprvs UTAH25820
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts 23.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points 19.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts 27.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves 3-Pointers — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts — — — Pending
22 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Boston Celtics 3-Pointers — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaden McDaniels is Under 23.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +32.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Monday 20 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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