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NBA

Jaden McDaniels

Minnesota Timberwolves

+12.3% Edge
Latest Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 -135 (1.74)
+12.3% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis
Thu 26 Mar, 1:42AM
Model Probability
69.7%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+12.3%
Predicted Value
1.1 3-Pointers

AI Analysis

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Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Houston Rockets, eyes will be on Jaden McDaniels, but not for the reasons you might think. Betting the under on his three-pointers at 1.5 feels increasingly prudent. Despite his impressive track record, McDaniels has averaged just 1.4 threes in his last five outings, and at home, that drops to a mere one. What's even more telling is his history against the Rockets: he's hit only 0.6 threes in their last five matchups, and worse, just 0.4 at home. With a solid hit rate of 11 out of 13 overall, it's easy to be lured in, but the numbers show a different story, especially when the stakes are high. Expect McDaniels to focus more on defense as the Wolves battle for playoff positioning, making the under a smart play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 25.0% (1/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts 19.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Boston Celtics 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -133 ✗ MISS
21 Mar 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Minnesota Timberwolves 3-Pointers — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 25.0% (1/4). The latest model pick for Jaden McDaniels is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday 26 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.