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NBA

Jaden McDaniels

Minnesota Timberwolves

+1.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Assists Under 2.5 -172 (1.58)
+1.9% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Sun 15 Mar, 5:00PM
Model Probability
65.2%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+1.9%
Predicted Value
1.8 Assists

AI Analysis

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Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 2.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves take to the court in Oklahoma City, all eyes are on Jaden McDaniels, particularly when it comes to his playmaking. While McDaniels has shown flashes of brilliance, backing the under on his assists total of 2.5 feels like the right play tonight. Over the last eight away games, he's averaged just 1.4 assists, and against the Thunder, that figure dips further to 1.6. Even more telling, in his last 11 games, he's only cleared this mark twice, hitting the under nine times. The Thunder's defense is known for tightening up in crucial moments, and with McDaniels primarily focused on scoring, he may not see ample opportunities to dish the rock. With the odds aligning favorably at -172.41, we can confidently lean toward the under-everything suggests this could be a night where McDaniels plays a more muted role.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 83.3% (5/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder Assists 2.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 3.5 Over -161 ✗ MISS
06 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs + Asts 21.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts Pending
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Assists Pending
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts Pending

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