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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Bucks
VS
Charlotte Hornets

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:11PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 125.5 (Team Total Points)
For Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets (NBA), model win probability 95.6%, fair odds 1.05, book price -588, model edge +10.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
125.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Charlotte HornetsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Kasparas Jakucionis GDay-to-day
  • Cormac Ryan GDay-to-day
  • Gary Trent Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Kyle Kuzma FDay-to-day
  • Myles Turner CDay-to-day
  • Ryan Rollins GDay-to-day
  • Kevin Porter Jr. GDay-to-day

Charlotte Hornets

  • Brandon Miller FDay-to-day
  • PJ Hall CDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 11:29PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMilwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte HornetsNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets and Milwaukee Bucks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadCharlotte Hornets spreadNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets (season record) meet Milwaukee Bucks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineCharlotte Hornets to winNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets (season record) host or visit Milwaukee Bucks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Charlotte Hornets totalNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Milwaukee Bucks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Milwaukee Bucks totalNo line posted

Milwaukee Bucks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Charlotte Hornets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks : Under 252.5 Total Points (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 252.5' for the total points in the game between Charlotte Hornets and Milwaukee Bucks is a sensible choice based on the teams' recent scoring performance. In their last five games, the Hornets averaged a score of 102.8 points, while the Bucks averaged 116.2 points, totaling 219 points on average, which is significantly lower than the 252.5 point line set for this game. Additionally, the model prediction, which estimates the total points to be around 211.82, further supports this under bet. Even when considering the higher-scoring away games for the Bucks (125.2 points), and the Hornets' home games where they concede more (117 points), the total (242.2 points) still falls below the 252.5 points line. Thus, the data suggests that the total scores are likely to be under 252.5 points.

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks : Milwaukee Bucks Under 125.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Milwaukee Bucks Under 125.5' for the Team Total Points is a favorable choice considering the team's recent performance. Analyzing the Bucks' last five games shows that they have an overall score average of 116.2 points, which is significantly under the 125.5 point mark. Although their last five away games average score is slightly higher at 125.2, it is still under the betting line. The model prediction further supports this bet, forecasting the Bucks to score around 106.91 points, well below the betting line. Furthermore, the Bucks have a balanced win-loss record recently (3-2), suggesting that their scoring may not drastically increase in the upcoming game. All these factors indicate that it's statistically likely that the Bucks will score under 125.5 points.

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks : Charlotte Hornets win (+130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Charlotte Hornets, despite the model prediction favouring the Milwaukee Bucks, is based on the potential for an upset. Although the Hornets have a less impressive recent record, basketball games can be unpredictable and the Hornets have shown they can beat the Bucks, evidenced by their 1-2 record against them in their last five encounters. Additionally, while the Hornets' home score average is lower than the Bucks' away score average, the difference is not so significant as to rule out the possibility of a win. In sports betting, considering underdogs can often provide value due to the higher outcome price, as is the case here with an outcome price of 2.3 for the Hornets. Thus, there is a calculated risk involved in this bet, but one that could yield a good return if the Hornets pull off an upset.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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