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The latest Bet Better model pick for Myles Turner is Over 9.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 47%, for a model edge of +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:54AM UTC
NBA

Myles Turner

Milwaukee Bucks

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 +112 (2.12) · $100→$212
+20.9% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
68.1%
Implied Probability
47.2%
Model Edge
+20.9%
Predicted Value
12.2 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points68.1%47.2%1.47+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Myles Turner (Milwaukee Bucks) Over 9.5 Points (+112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Myles Turner is primed for a breakout performance against the Pistons. Despite playing away, he's consistently found ways to score, averaging 11 points over his last five outings. When facing Detroit, he's been particularly effective, posting an average of nearly 17 points in their recent matchups. Turner has hit the over on 9.5 points in three of his last four games, and with the Bucks looking to secure a rhythm before the playoffs, you can bet they'll lean on him to provide essential scoring. His ability to stretch the floor and capitalize on mismatches makes him a focal point of Milwaukee's offense. Given that he's cleared this mark in 9 of his last 19 away games, it's hard to ignore the value here. With expected stats suggesting he could net around 12 points, it feels like a solid investment to back Turner for the over in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Myles Turner — 2024-25 season averages

Over 82 games in the 2024-25 season, Myles Turner averaged 15.7 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 30.3 minutes per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 40.1% from three-point range.

15.7
PPG
6.5
RPG
1.5
APG
0.7
SPG
2.1
BPG
30.3
MPG
48.4%
FG%
40.1%
3P%

Myles Turner — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Myles Turner has played 29.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.8
MPG (L5)
16.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Myles Turner — points hit rate

Myles Turner has scored over 11.5 points in 53% of 483 career games.

o11.553%
o12.546%
o15.531%
o20.511%

Myles Turner — home vs away scoring

At home Myles Turner averages 16.5 points per game; on the road, 14.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

16.5
PPG at home
14.8
PPG on the road

Myles Turner — scoring by opponent

Myles Turner scores most against the DAL, averaging 17.6 points per game in that matchup.

17.6
DAL
16.7
POR
16.4
WSH
16.4
ORL
16.1
DEN
16.1
ATL

Myles Turner — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Myles Turner has averaged 16.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE331070
11 Mayvs CLE222073
9 Mayvs CLE261530
6 May@ CLE352381
4 May@ CLE3313111
29 Aprvs MIL432190
27 Apr@ MIL302353
25 Apr@ MIL24632
22 Aprvs MIL331521
19 Aprvs MIL311952
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebounds 4.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks Assists 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Myles Turner (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Myles Turner is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons on Wednesday 8 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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