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The latest Bet Better model pick for Myles Turner is Over 9.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 47%, for a model edge of +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Myles Turner

Milwaukee Bucks

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 +112 (2.12)
+20.9% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Turner (ankle) remains one of Milwaukee's top trade candidates after the organization shifted into rebuilding mode following the Giannis Antetokounmpo deal, Amir Motameni of SI.com reports.
updated Jun 26, 2:47PM UTC · 24d old
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Model Probability
68.1%
Implied Probability
47.2%
Model Edge
+20.9%
Predicted Value
12.2 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points68.1%—47.2%1.47+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Myles Turner (Milwaukee Bucks) Over 9.5 Points (+112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Myles Turner is primed for a breakout performance against the Pistons. Despite playing away, he's consistently found ways to score, averaging 11 points over his last five outings. When facing Detroit, he's been particularly effective, posting an average of nearly 17 points in their recent matchups. Turner has hit the over on 9.5 points in three of his last four games, and with the Bucks looking to secure a rhythm before the playoffs, you can bet they'll lean on him to provide essential scoring. His ability to stretch the floor and capitalize on mismatches makes him a focal point of Milwaukee's offense. Given that he's cleared this mark in 9 of his last 19 away games, it's hard to ignore the value here. With expected stats suggesting he could net around 12 points, it feels like a solid investment to back Turner for the over in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.3avg · last 10
L51.0Szn1.5Home1.5Away1.5Best6
2+48%
4+5%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
2123011030

Myles Turner is averaging 1.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.5, best 6). He clears 2+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.5avg · last 10
L52.8Szn2.1Home2.3Away1.8Best8
1+80%
2+57%
3+34%
4+21%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.5 · hi 5 · lo 0
4214025304

Myles Turner is averaging 2.5 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 8). He clears 2+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
16.5avg · last 10
L516.2Szn15.7Home16.5Away14.8Best40
6+99%
11+82%
16+44%
21+20%
26+6%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 16.5 · hi 23 · lo 6
1915623211323152010

Myles Turner is averaging 16.5 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.7, best 40). He clears 16+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
22.5avg · last 10
L523.4Szn22.1Home23.7Away20.6Best50
12+94%
17+82%
22+54%
27+23%
32+7%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 22.5 · hi 31 · lo 9
2417928302431182717

Myles Turner is averaging 22.5 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.1, best 50). He clears 22+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
23.8avg · last 10
L524.4Szn23.7Home25.1Away22.2Best52
14+93%
19+76%
24+52%
29+23%
34+7%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 23.8 · hi 32 · lo 11
26181131302532183017

Myles Turner is averaging 23.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.7, best 52). He clears 24+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
6.0avg · last 10
L57.2Szn6.5Home7.1Away5.8Best17
2+96%
4+83%
6+65%
8+35%
10+18%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6 · hi 11 · lo 2
52359118377

Myles Turner is averaging 6.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.5, best 17). He clears 6+ in 65% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
7.3avg · last 10
L58.2Szn8.0Home8.6Away7.3Best20
2+98%
5+85%
8+60%
11+24%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 7.3 · hi 12 · lo 3
735891293107

Myles Turner is averaging 7.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.0, best 20). He clears 8+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
03 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebounds 4.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks Assists 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
22 Feb 26 Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Myles Turner (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Myles Turner is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons on Wednesday 8 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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