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Model picks & player props
Sacramento Kings
VS
Milwaukee Bucks

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 (Point Spread)
For Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks (NBA), model win probability 77.4%, fair odds 1.29, book price -106, model edge +25.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Milwaukee Bucks
-5.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Milwaukee BucksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento KingsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento KingsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Sacramento Kings

  • Nique Clifford GDay-to-day
  • Maxime Raynaud CDay-to-day
  • Dylan Cardwell CDay-to-day
  • Darius Acuff Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Zach LaVine GDay-to-day
  • Malik Monk GDay-to-day
  • De'Andre Hunter FDay-to-day
  • Domantas Sabonis FDay-to-day
  • Keegan Murray FDay-to-day

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Kasparas Jakucionis GDay-to-day
  • Cormac Ryan GDay-to-day
  • Gary Trent Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Kyle Kuzma FDay-to-day
  • Myles Turner CDay-to-day
  • Ryan Rollins GDay-to-day
  • Kevin Porter Jr. GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 11:29PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsSacramento Kings @ Milwaukee BucksNo line posted

Milwaukee Bucks and Sacramento Kings combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMilwaukee Bucks spreadNo line posted

Milwaukee Bucks (season record) meet Sacramento Kings; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMilwaukee Bucks to winNo line posted

Milwaukee Bucks (season record) host or visit Sacramento Kings; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Milwaukee Bucks totalNo line posted

Milwaukee Bucks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Sacramento Kings; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Sacramento Kings totalNo line posted

Sacramento Kings averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Milwaukee Bucks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Sacramento Kings @ Milwaukee Bucks — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings : Under 257.5 Total Points (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Statistical analyses of the Milwaukee Bucks and Sacramento Kings reveal that the total points scored in their games have not exceeded the 257.5 mark. The Bucks, in their last five games at home, have averaged 113 points while the Kings have averaged 118.6 points in their last five away games. This gives a combined average of 231.6 points, significantly lower than the betting threshold of 257.5 points. Furthermore, the model prediction stands at 217.53 points, well below the proposed total. This trend is also supported by the average points scored by their opponents, which for both teams doesn't exceed the 257.5 threshold. Therefore, based on historical performance, it's statistically probable that the total points scored will be under 257.5.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings : Milwaukee Bucks Under 130.5 Team Total Points (-714)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Milwaukee Bucks Under 130.5' in the Team Total Points market makes sense due to several key factors. Firstly, the Bucks' recent scoring history indicates that they have been averaging 116.2 points overall in their last five games, and 113 points in their last five home games. Both figures are significantly below the 'Under 130.5' threshold. Additionally, the model prediction suggests a score of 107.7 for the Bucks, further indicating the likelihood of them scoring under 130.5 points. Also, the Kings have held their opponents to an average of 113.4 points in the last five games which is again below the bet's threshold. Therefore, based on the Bucks' recent scoring patterns and the Kings' defensive performances, it appears statistically likely that the Bucks' total points will be under 130.5.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings : Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Milwaukee Bucks -5.5' is a favorable choice due to several key statistics. Firstly, the Bucks have demonstrated a stronger recent performance with a home record of 3-2 in the last 5 games, compared to the Kings' away record of 1-4. This implies that the Bucks have been performing better at home, while the Kings struggle on the road. Additionally, the Bucks have been consistently successful against the Kings, with a 2-0 record in their last 5 encounters. Furthermore, the Bucks' overall team score in the last 5 games (116.2) is higher than the Kings' (113.2), suggesting a greater offensive capability. Meanwhile, the Kings have been allowing more points to opponents (119.2 vs Bucks' 116.4), indicating a weaker defense. These factors make the Bucks a solid bet to cover the -5.5 point spread.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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