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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Antonacci is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 27, 7:39AM UTC
MLB

Sam Antonacci

MLB

+15.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -204 (1.49)
+15.8% Edge
New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Mon 27 Jul, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.9%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+15.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases82.9%—67.1%1.21+15.8%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Antonacci (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago White Sox host the New York Yankees, all eyes will be on Sam Antonacci, but the smart play might be to bet the under on his total bases. Antonacci has had a challenging stretch, with only a handful of multi-base games lately, struggling against left-handed pitching. The Yankees' southpaw starter has been nothing short of dominant, holding opponents to a meager .210 batting average. Moreover, the White Sox have faced a recent slump, scoring under four runs in several outings, limiting Antonacci’s opportunities. With the Yankees’ bullpen excelling in late-game situations, it’s tough to envision Antonacci finding gaps consistently tonight. Given the combination of Antonacci's recent form and the stiff competition he faces, betting under 1.5 total bases feels like the prudent move. Trusting the trends here could pay off as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -204+15.8% edge

Sam Antonacci MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -204 (+15.8% model edge).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -345 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
17 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Antonacci is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Antonacci is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox on Monday 27 July at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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