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MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 22 markets for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $286.

20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9.5 total runs
Over 9.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$28.60Best price+186
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.6%
The price says35.0%

The model graded 22 markets for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $286 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Lean48% chance +186
Total Runs Members only High66% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 88% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays last met on Sun 28 Jun 2026: Tampa Bay Rays won 5-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Carroll RFOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut

Probable pitcher

Drew Rasmussen SP
Availability updated Nov 6, 10:51PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Junior Caminero TBR Batter - Hits
Jonathan Aranda TBR Batter - Hits

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA4.4Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L50-5

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA4.4Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L50-5

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona DiamondbacksNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
3.8runs we expect
L5 RF3.4L5 RA4.4Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L50-5

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Arizona Diamondbacks at Tampa Bay Rays — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 1 of their last 5 games; Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4MILHome
W4–3MILHome
L1–10MILHome
L4–5MILAway
L2–3MILAway
Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–10SDAway
L4–9SDAway
W11–4SDAway
W5–3COLAway
W12–8COLAway

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 3, Arizona Diamondbacks won 0.

DateTampa Bay RaysArizona DiamondbacksWinner
Jun 2851Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 2742Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 2661Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Corbin Carroll RFOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks stats and odds.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Over 6.5 Total Runs (-213)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Diamondbacks vs Rays, or as Rays vs Diamondbacks. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 28 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays beat Arizona Diamondbacks 5-1 at home
  • 27 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays beat Arizona Diamondbacks 4-2 at home
  • 26 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays beat Arizona Diamondbacks 6-1 at home

Arizona Diamondbacks: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 4-9
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 7-10
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonat San Diego Padres 11-4
  4. 24 Sep 2026Wonat Colorado Rockies 12-8
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Colorado Rockies 5-3

Tampa Bay Rays: last 5 results

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Milwaukee Brewers 1-4
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Milwaukee Brewers 4-3
  3. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Milwaukee Brewers 1-10
  4. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Milwaukee Brewers 4-5
  5. 23 Oct 2026Lostat Milwaukee Brewers 2-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks game? Tampa Bay Rays won their last meeting 5-1 on 28 June 2026.

How have Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays done lately? Arizona Diamondbacks won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Tampa Bay Rays won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays: the season so far

From every final score this season

Arizona Diamondbacks are 86-76 this season and Tampa Bay Rays are 106-70. Tampa Bay Rays are 60-29 at home. Arizona Diamondbacks are 41-40 on the road. Tampa Bay Rays score 4.4 runs a game and let in 4.0. Arizona Diamondbacks score 4.6 and let in 4.5. Tampa Bay Rays games have averaged 8.4 runs in total; Arizona Diamondbacks games have averaged 9.1.

SeasonArizona DiamondbacksTampa Bay Rays
Won-lost86-76106-70
At home45-3660-29
On the road41-4046-41
Last 106-45-5
Runs scored a game4.64.4
Runs let in a game4.54.0
Runs scored at home4.64.5
Runs scored away4.54.4
Against winning sides33-3944-32
Current runLost 2Lost 1
Biggest win15-5 vs Athletics12-1 at Philadelphia Phillies
Heaviest loss17-2 vs Atlanta Braves14-3 vs Los Angeles Angels

Teams they have both played

  • Against Milwaukee Brewers: Tampa Bay Rays lost 1-4 at home; Arizona Diamondbacks lost 2-3 at home.
  • Against Cleveland Guardians: Tampa Bay Rays won 7-3 at home; Arizona Diamondbacks lost 0-5 on the road.
  • Against New York Yankees: Tampa Bay Rays won 4-3 on the road; Arizona Diamondbacks won 8-4 at home.

Quick answers

How are Tampa Bay Rays doing this season? Tampa Bay Rays are 106-70 this season: 60-29 at home and 46-41 on the road.

How many runs do Arizona Diamondbacks score a game? Arizona Diamondbacks score 4.6 runs a game this season and let in 4.5, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 10–2 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 28 Jun 2026, Arizona Diamondbacks at Tampa Bay Rays: the Rays won 5-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays5–1Tampa Bay Rays
27 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays4–2Tampa Bay Rays
26 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays6–1Tampa Bay Rays
24 Apr 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Arizona Diamondbacks4–7Tampa Bay Rays
23 Apr 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Arizona Diamondbacks6–7Tampa Bay Rays
22 Apr 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–1Arizona Diamondbacks
18 Aug 2024Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays8–7Tampa Bay Rays
17 Aug 2024Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays6–1Tampa Bay Rays
16 Aug 2024Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays5–4Tampa Bay Rays
29 Jun 2023Tampa Bay Rays @ Arizona Diamondbacks1–6Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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