SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154)
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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
San Diego Padres

Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 12, 7:15AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Petco Park, San Diego
Sun 12 Jul 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game Picks
28
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Toronto Blue Jays (Moneyline)
For Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres (MLB), model win probability 41.7%, fair odds 2.40, book price +470, model edge +24.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 12 Jul 2026, 8:10PM at Petco Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Blue JaysMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Toronto Blue Jays on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Toronto Blue Jays
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Fanatics
on Toronto Blue Jays
Shop gain & value% 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Max Scherzer SPOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jesus Sanchez RFOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Trey Yesavage SP

San Diego Padres

  • Randy Vasquez SPOut
  • David Morgan RPOut
  • Freddy Fermin COut
  • Samad Taylor LFOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Nick Pivetta SPOut
  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Yu Darvish SPOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

Walker Buehler SP
Availability updated Jul 12, 6:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ernie Clement TOR Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jackson Merrill Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate
DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 12 July 2026 at Petco Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 28 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.