As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets, one thing stands out: both teams have been swinging hot bats lately. Philadelphia, with their lineup firing on all cylinders, leads the league in runs scored over the last couple of weeks. Meanwhile, the Mets have shown they can put the ball in play, too, consistently finding gaps and driving in runs.
On the mound, both starting pitchers have struggled with consistency, allowing plenty of base runners and often leading to early scoring opportunities. Given how these teams have been trading blows in their recent meetings, it’s hard to ignore the likelihood of at least a couple of runs crossing the plate early on. With the odds favoring an offensive explosion, betting on the total runs to go over 0.5 feels not just reasonable but almost inevitable in this high-stakes rivalry. Expect fireworks!
Bo Bichette (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits (-238)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Phillies face off against the Mets today, all eyes will be on Bo Bichette, but the under on his hits feels like the smart play. Bichette has been in a bit of a slump lately, with his batting average dipping below .250 over the past week. The Mets’ pitching staff, particularly their ace on the mound today, has been outstanding against left-handers, limiting opponents to a .220 average.
Moreover, recent trends show that Bichette has struggled against pitchers with high strikeout rates, and today’s starter fits that bill perfectly. With the atmosphere at Citizens Bank Park buzzing, it’s easy to see why the odds favor the under on his hits. Given all this, expecting Bichette to notch more than one hit seems ambitious. It might be a day for him to recalibrate rather than dominate. Keep your bets sharp and lean towards the under on 1.5 hits.
Carson Benge (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets, all eyes will be on Carson Benge, who’s been struggling to find his rhythm lately. With the Phillies’ lineup facing a potent Mets pitching staff known for its strikeout ability, Benge could find himself challenged. Over the last few outings, he’s managed just a handful of hits against righties, with his batting average dipping below the Mendoza line.
The Mets, particularly their starter, have been effective at limiting extra-base hits, allowing opponents to capitalize less frequently. Given Benge's recent form and the tough matchup against a pitcher who’s been racking up strikeouts while keeping runs in check, betting on him to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like a savvy play. With the dynamics at play, a quiet day at the plate seems more likely than a breakout performance.
Alec Bohm (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-213)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets, Alec Bohm’s recent performance raises some eyebrows, especially when considering the matchup dynamics. Over the last week, Bohm has struggled to find his rhythm, hitting just .214, and he’s been particularly challenged against left-handed pitchers. With Mets starter David Peterson on the mound, who sports a solid 3.50 ERA against right-handed batters, it creates a tough environment for Bohm to rack up total bases.
Moreover, the Mets' bullpen has been increasingly efficient, limiting hits late in games. With the Phillies’ lineup showing signs of inconsistency lately, expecting Bohm to clear the 1.5 total bases mark seems optimistic. Given the current trends and Peterson’s ability to keep hitters in check, betting the under on Bohm’s total bases might just be the savvy play in this matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets : Over 9.5 Total Runs (+128)
Odds available at NA at time of publishing
As the Phillies prepare to face the Mets on July 19, the stage is set for a potential slugfest. Both teams have been showing a knack for scoring lately, with the Phillies averaging over five runs per game in their last ten. The Mets, not to be outdone, have been racking up hits and converting them into runs, recently posting a .270 team batting average.
The pitching matchup adds another layer of intrigue. While the Phillies’ starter has had his moments, he’s also been prone to giving up runs, particularly against left-handed batters. Meanwhile, the Mets’ pitcher has struggled on the road, allowing opponents to feast on his offerings.
Given both teams' recent trends and their offensive capabilities, betting on the over seems like a savvy play. With the line set at 9.5, it's hard to see this matchup staying quiet; expect plenty of fireworks at Citizens Bank Park.