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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Phillies
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 2:33PM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals and backs St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $420.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Wed 12 Aug 2026, 6:15PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
65.0%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Spread - 1st 5 Innings +320

The model graded 70 markets for Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $420 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 65.0% across 40 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 12 Aug 2026, 6:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.4%
The price says24.2%
Best price+320
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Lean50% chance +320
Spread Members only High70% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean42% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only High93% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 9 props Highup to 97% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 93% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Walks × 7 props Highup to 94% Members
Batter - Singles × 4 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Hits × 7 props Highup to 94% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 81% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 80% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Wed 12 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 · $100 returned $420

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 164 of 342 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 20
Bryce Miller Over 2.5
Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies
CASHED
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Jonathan Bowlan RPDay-to-day
  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Jesus Luzardo SPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Probable pitcher

Andrew Painter SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Michael McGreevy SP
Availability updated Sep 19, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Kyle Leahy Pitcher - Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler PHI Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Jordan Walker STL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Kyle Schwarber PHI Batter - Walks

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 2-3, 2.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia PhilliesNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
3.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.8L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.8 runs/gm.

Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–9WSHHome
L5–8WSHHome
L5–6SFHome
L3–10SFHome
W2–1SFHome
Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–10NYMAway
L3–6NYMAway
W3–0NYMAway
W3–0WSHAway
L3–6WSHAway

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 2.0 runs per game (4-1) while Philadelphia Phillies are at 2.8 (3-2); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Philadelphia Phillies.

2.0
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
2.8
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsPhiladelphia Phillies
Runs / game2.02.8
Hits / game3.04.4
Home runs / game0.20.4
Walks drawn / game0.41.8
Batter K / game1.02.0
Earned runs allowed / game1.01.4
Pitching K / game1.43.6
Walks allowed / game1.01.2
L5 record4-13-2

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 2, Philadelphia Phillies won 4.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsPhiladelphia PhilliesWinner
Aug 2346Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 22312Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 2167Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 1271St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1120St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1056Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Jonathan Bowlan RPDAY-TO-DAY
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Jesus Luzardo SPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies: St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
40
Total Picks
65.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 8.5 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 10.5 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 10 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -2.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Phillies vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Phillies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 12 August 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 65.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Philadelphia Phillies 14–9 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 8.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies6–4Philadelphia Phillies
22 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies12–3Philadelphia Phillies
21 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies7–6Philadelphia Phillies
12 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–1St. Louis Cardinals
11 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals2–0St. Louis Cardinals
10 Aug 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals5–6Philadelphia Phillies
14 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies7–14St. Louis Cardinals
12 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies2–3St. Louis Cardinals
13 Apr 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–0St. Louis Cardinals
12 Apr 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals1–4Philadelphia Phillies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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