Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Phillies
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 31, 6:05AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Fri 31 Jul 2026, 11:05PM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 9 (Total Runs)
For Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB), model win probability 77.2%, fair odds 1.30, book price -105, model edge +25.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 31 Jul 2026, 11:05PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Over
9
+ 2 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Lou Trivino RPOut
  • Kyle Schwarber DHDay-to-day
  • Tanner Banks RPOut
  • Rafael Marchan COut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Chris Bassitt SPOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Adley Rutschman COut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
Availability updated Jul 29, 11:34PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia PhilliesOver 9 -105+25.9% edge
77%over %
12.5proj. runs
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2O/U11-13

Baltimore Orioles total runs vs Philadelphia Phillies is live with a model 77% read and a +25.9% model edge; proj. runs 12.5.

MoneylineBaltimore Orioles to win-120+25.8% edge
81%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2Win rec9-6

Baltimore Orioles moneyline vs Philadelphia Phillies is live with a model 81% read and a +25.8% model edge; L5 record 4-1.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run line+1.5 -192+16.4% edge
82%cover %
+3.2proj. margin
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2ATS11-6

Baltimore Orioles spread vs Philadelphia Phillies is live with a model 82% read and a +16.4% model edge; proj. margin +3.2.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
2.8implied team total
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.8Home L55-0vs Philadelphia Phillies L53-2

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 31 July 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.