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Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 22, 1:02AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Dodgers 1 Spread +230

The model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $330 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 8:10PM at Dodger Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.1%
The price says30.3%
Best price+230
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Los Angeles Dodgers 1 High67% chance +230
Spread Lean49% chance
Moneyline High61% chance
Spread Long-shot40% chance
Spread Lean44% chance
Spread High71% chance
Spread Long-shot35% chance
Spread Long-shot31% chance
Total Runs High64% chance
Batter - Hits × 9 props Highup to 100%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 78%
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 96%
Batter - Singles × 8 props Highup to 100%
Batter - Walks × 7 props Highup to 100%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Baltimore Orioles 1.5 · $100 returned $490

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 840 of 1,690 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 21
Under 4.5
Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $483
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers
-2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Zach Eflin SPOut

Probable pitcher

Trevor Rogers SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP
Availability updated Aug 22, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Max Muncy Batter - Hits
Mookie Betts LAD Batter - Hits
Trevor Rogers Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Tommy Edman STL Batter - Total Bases
Tommy Edman STL Batter - Singles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2Free board10-8

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
3.2runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 1 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4COLAway
W7–6COLAway
W11–5COLAway
L2–6MILHome
W3–1MILHome
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6NYYHome
L3–5NYYHome
L1–3NYYHome
L6–7TBAway
W10–2TBAway

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 2.0 runs per game (2-3) while Baltimore Orioles are at 1.2 (2-3); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Baltimore Orioles.

2.0
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
1.2
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game2.01.2
Hits / game3.62.0
Home runs / game0.20.2
Walks drawn / game1.60.4
Batter K / game1.03.6
Earned runs allowed / game1.61.0
Pitching K / game2.83.2
Walks allowed / game1.61.4
L5 record2-32-3

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 1, Baltimore Orioles won 2.

DateLos Angeles DodgersBaltimore OriolesWinner
Jun 21112Baltimore Orioles
Jun 2123Baltimore Orioles
Jun 2065Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Tyler Glasnow SPOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Bobby Miller SPOUT
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Zach Eflin SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Deep dive into Los Angeles Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Samuel Basallo. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Los Angeles Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles stats and odds.

Samuel Basallo (NA) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
21 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +2 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +5.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +4.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +3.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +4 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 June 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Baltimore Orioles 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–3Baltimore Orioles
21 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–12Baltimore Orioles
20 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–5Los Angeles Dodgers
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