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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Muncy is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +17.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Max Muncy

LAD

+17.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -167 (1.60)
+17.2% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+17.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases79.7%—62.5%1.26+17.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Max Muncy (LAD) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees host the Dodgers, eyes will be on Max Muncy, but betting on him to clear 1.5 total bases feels risky. Sure, Muncy has been a force at the plate, yet his recent form tells a different story. Over the past few weeks, he’s been battling inconsistency, with his batting average dipping to a mere .218. Facing a Yankees rotation that’s been stingy against lefties, limiting them to a .230 average, Muncy may find himself in a tough spot. Plus, the Yankees' bullpen has been particularly effective in late-game situations, making it even tougher for any hitter to rack up bases. Given these dynamics, and with a model predicting just 0.83 total bases for Muncy, leaning towards the under seems not only wise but prudent. His recent trends, coupled with the Yankees' pitching strength, suggest a quiet night for the Dodgers slugger.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2054%
O 0.550%
O 1.530%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
010

Max Muncy MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.530%
O 4.510%

Max Muncy MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Max Muncy MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2062%
O 0.560%
O 1.550%

Max Muncy MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
0000

Max Muncy MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Max Muncy MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -323 ✗ MISS
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Max Muncy (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Muncy is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees on Friday 17 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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