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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
Kansas City Royals

Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:34PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Outdoor
Thu 26 Jun 2025, 6:10PM
0
Game markets graded
14
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Griffin Jax SPOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Cole Sulser RPOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ian Seymour SP

Kansas City Royals

  • Maikel Garcia 3BOut
  • Vinnie Pasquantino 1BOut
  • Luinder Avila SPOut
  • Nick Mears RPOut
  • Carlos Estevez RPOut
  • Beck Way RPOut
  • Stephen Kolek SPOut
  • Connor Seabold RPOut
  • Cole Ragans SPOut
  • Jonathan India 2BOut
  • James McArthur RPOut
  • Alec Marsh SPOut

Probable pitcher

Randy Dobnak SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 8:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Vinnie Pasquantino KCR Batter - Singles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Lowe TBR Batter - Singles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Michael Wacha KCR Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandon Lowe TBR Batter - Singles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kris Bubic KCR Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals — 0 on the game itself and 14 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals — recent results

Kansas City Royals have won 2 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 5 of their last 5.

Kansas City Royals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–10CHCHome
L4–6CHCHome
W6–3CHCHome
L3–4MINHome
W2–1MINHome
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2SEAAway
W4–1SEAAway
W2–1SEAAway
W9–7COLAway
W4–0COLAway

Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Kansas City Royals won 2, Tampa Bay Rays won 5.

DateKansas City RoyalsTampa Bay RaysWinner
Jul 225Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 104Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 30410Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 25213Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 2435Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 23125Kansas City Royals
Jun 2221Kansas City Royals

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Kansas City Royals
PlayerStatus
Maikel Garcia 3BOUT
Vinnie Pasquantino 1BOUT
Luinder Avila SPOUT
Nick Mears RPOUT
Carlos Estevez RPOUT
Beck Way RPOUT
Stephen Kolek SPOUT
Connor Seabold RPOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Griffin Jax SPOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Cole Sulser RPOUT
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays stats and odds.

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays : Kansas City Royals Win (-145)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Kansas City Royals have a strong home field advantage, as demonstrated by their recent 4-1 record at home. This suggests they perform better in their own ballpark. Additionally, their record against the Tampa Bay Rays is positive, with 3 wins in their last 5 encounters. The Royals' average runs scored at home matches their overall average, indicating consistency in their performance. On the other hand, the Rays have struggled on the road, scoring an average of only 1.6 runs in their last 5 away games. They have also allowed more runs on average than the Royals, both overall and in away games. This data suggests that the Royals have a better offensive and defensive performance, especially at home, which makes betting on them a good choice.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Royals, or as Royals vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Thursday 26 June 2025 at Kauffman Stadium. The model has generated 14 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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