On Thursday 1 October 2026, Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 60.5 Rushing Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 60.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs: Las Vegas Raiders (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Las Vegas Raiders. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs: Las Vegas Raiders (+176)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Las Vegas Raiders. It was priced at +176 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs: Las Vegas Raiders (-111)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Las Vegas Raiders. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 199.5 Player pass yds alternate (-385)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 199.5 Player pass yds alternate. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 241.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 241.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Raiders v Kansas City Chiefs. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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