On Thursday 1 October 2026, Hull City play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Hull City Moneyline, priced at +260 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Hull City vs Everton: Hull City Moneyline (+260)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Hull City prepares to face Everton, there's a palpable sense of opportunity in the air. The Tigers have been solid at home, boasting a 3-2-0 record in their last five at the KCOM, while limiting opponents to a mere 0.2 goals per game during that stretch. Their defense is particularly impressive, allowing just 0.8 expected goals (xG) in home matches. On the flip side, Everton's away struggles are hard to ignore, with a dismal record recently that includes three straight losses. They’ve averaged only 0.8 goals in their last five away games, clearly struggling for creativity and finishing. Given Hull's recent home form and defensive resilience juxtaposed with Everton's woes, backing the home side in this matchup seems like a savvy choice. Hull's home advantage and Everton's lack of scoring form create a perfect storm for a potential upset.

Hull City vs Everton: Both Teams To Score: No (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Hull City prepares to face Everton, the signs point to a low-scoring affair. Hull's recent form at home showcases a defensive solidity, conceding just 0.2 goals per game over their last five matches at the KCOM Stadium. They’ve averaged only 1 goal themselves, indicating a struggle to find the net against even modest opposition. Everton, on the other hand, has been equally lackluster away, scoring just 0.8 goals while conceding 1.2. Both teams have underwhelming attacking metrics, with Hull's last five matches yielding an xG of zero and Everton's away matches mirroring that with similar figures. With each side grappling for attacking rhythm and Hull's home fortress proving steely, betting on 'No' for both teams to score seems like a savvy choice. The trends are undeniable – don’t expect fireworks in this one!

That is how our model reads Hull City v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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