Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Aaron Cadman is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 3.2 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 1 goal per game, Cadman's goal-scoring ability is consistent. His high goal accuracy of 67.1% and frequent involvement in scoring opportunities (6 score involvements per game) further support his potential to snag a goal. Additionally, his average of 4 shots at goal per game indicates his active presence in the forward line. With a model predicting him to score 2.3 goals and a solid 10.4% edge, Cadman is positioned well to split the middle against Hawthorn in this matchup at ENGIE Stadium.

Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Ward is likely to exceed 14.5 disposals in the upcoming game against the Giants based on his consistent recent form. With an average of 18 disposals in his last five away games and a solid 85.5% implied probability, Ward's current streak of hitting 7/7 supports this bet. His performance metrics, including contested possessions (6.8), kicks (9), and uncontested possessions (12.2), indicate his involvement in the game. Additionally, facing an opponent he typically performs well against, averaging 17 disposals in the last five matchups, further strengthens this bet. The model's prediction of 20.7 disposals with a small standard deviation of 5 gives confidence in Ward's ability to surpass the 14.5 line.

Mabior Chol (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mabior Chol presents a strong case to snag a goal in the upcoming match against GWS Giants. With a solid average of 2 goals in his last 5 away games and a 70% goal accuracy, Chol has been consistently impactful in front of the big sticks. His recent form against the same opponent, averaging 2.5 goals, further supports his goal-scoring potential. Additionally, his involvement in creating scoring opportunities with 3.8 score involvements per game and 2 marks inside 50 on average enhances the likelihood of him hitting the scoreboard. Given his recent performance and the model's prediction of 1.4 goals, the bet on Mabior Chol to score anytime seems well-founded.

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