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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Sicily is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +4.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
AFL

James Sicily

Hawthorn

+4.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -125 (1.80)
+4.3% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 7 Mar, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
59.8%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value
19.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals59.8%—55.6%1.67+4.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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James Sicily (Hawthorn) Over 18.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to hitting the over on disposals, James Sicily is a reliable bet. His recent form on the road has been impressive, averaging 18.2 disposals per game, with a solid disposal efficiency of 82.3%. Sicily's ability to find the footy is evident in his knack for intercepts (7.8 per game) and metres gained (365 on average). Facing the GWS Giants, he has historically performed well, averaging 19 disposals against them in their last encounters. With his consistent kick and handball numbers, Sicily is poised to make an impact in this match. Despite a slight dip in uncontested possessions, his overall numbers suggest he's primed to surpass the 18.5 disposals line. Betting on Sicily to dominate the field and rack up the possessions seems like a smart play for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 18.5
19avg disposals L5
Away22vs Richmond26Season best33
O 16.580%
O 17.570%
O 18.570%
O 19.560%
O 20.560%
O 21.560%
Game log vs line (O 18.5)avg 21.3 · hi 30 · lo 13
21133018203015242319

James Sicily has gone over 18.5 disposals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 19 disposals, best 33).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

James Sicily (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Sicily is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 7 March at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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