Pat Spencer (Golden State Warriors) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Look, folks, it's no secret that Pat Spencer's been having a rough patch from beyond the arc this season. When the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, he's been consistently underperforming on the 3-point line. Tonight, they're facing the Los Angeles Lakers, and we're putting our chips on Spencer to make fewer than 1.5 threes.Why? Let's talk turkey. When we look at Spencer's track record at home, we've seen him hit under 1.5 threes in 20 of his last 20 games. That's right, this isn't a fluke, it's a trend. And let's not forget the fact that he's been under 1.5 in his last eight outings overall. The numbers don't lie, and right now, they're pointing to a less-than-stellar performance from Spencer on the threes. Not the greatest news for the Warriors, but it could be a winning bet for

Deandre Ayton (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 0.5 Blocks (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors prepare to take on the Los Angeles Lakers this Sunday, one name to keep a keen eye on is Deandre Ayton. There's a compelling case for Ayton to record over 0.5 blocks, and it's not just a hunch. Ayton is on a hot streak, having recorded a block in each of his last six appearances. His home record is particularly impressive, missing out on only one of the last seven. With an average of 1.2 blocks per game overall and a solid 1 block average at home, Ayton's recent performances suggest that he's set to make his mark on the defensive end once again. Despite averaging just 0.4 against the Lakers, with our model giving an 11.5% edge, and an implied probability of 65.8%, betting on Ayton to record over 0.5 blocks seems like a solid and worthwhile wager. It's time to buckle up and watch this Phoenix rise

Marcus Smart (Washington Wizards) Over 8.5 Points + Assists (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

An intriguing play to consider on Sunday's clash between the Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers is Marcus Smart's over 8.5 points + assists. Smart, a dynamic player, has been on a tear lately, averaging 10.2 points and 3.6 assists overall in the last five games, and even better on the road with 11.4 points and 4 assists. Against the Warriors, he's been particularly potent, racking up an average of 13.3 points and 5 assists. That's much more than we need to hit our target. His recent form is just as impressive, hitting this mark in 9 of his last 11 games overall, and in 6 of his last 7 road trips. The data is painting a clear picture here: Marcus Smart over 8.5 points + assists is a bet worth considering.

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