On Thursday 1 October 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap (-222)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, recent form paints a compelling picture. Palace's home record may not be stellar, but their average of 1.2 goals scored at Selhurst Park shows potential. They’ve been creating chances, evident in their 10.6 shots per match, although finishing remains a concern. On the flip side, Forest's away form has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.4 goals while struggling to find the net themselves, averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five away outings. Their defensive lapses could be crucial, particularly against a Palace side that, despite its inconsistencies, has shown glimpses of attacking flair. With a recent head-to-head record not favoring Palace (0-4-1), they'll be eager to shift the narrative. Given the combination of Palace's need for a home win and Forest's away struggles, backing Palace with a -0.5 handicap seems the smart move here.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Draw Moneyline (+235)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to face Nottingham Forest, both teams enter this clash with frustrating recent form. Palace has struggled at home, managing just one win in five and averaging a paltry 1.2 goals while conceding 2.2. Their xG stats tell a similar story, reflecting a lack of offensive bite. On the flip side, Nottingham Forest has been slightly better away, yet they too have only managed one win in five, averaging just 0.8 goals scored. With Palace's home woes and Forest's inability to secure consistent results, a draw feels increasingly likely. Historically, these matchups have leaned toward tight contests, and with the implied probability of a stalemate sitting at 28.3%, this is a compelling market to explore. Expect a tactical battle where both defenses have the upper hand, leading to a shared point.

That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article