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Model picks & player props
Crystal Palace
VS
Leeds United

Crystal Palace vs Leeds United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 11:44AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Elland Road, Leeds
Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00PM
15
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Crystal Palace 3.5 Spread -5000

The model graded 15 markets for Crystal Palace vs Leeds United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $102 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00PM at Elland Road.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win96.2%
The price says92.2%
Best price-5000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Crystal Palace 3.5 High96% chance -5000
Spread High89% chance —
Total Goals Lean48% chance —
Total Goals High70% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean43% chance —
Total Goals High94% chance —
Total Goals High85% chance —
Total Goals High98% chance —
Spread High73% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
How they've been scoring this season
Crystal PalaceLeeds United
Won-lost1-2-01-0-2
Goals scored per game1.31.0
Goals allowed per game2.70.7
On the road / at home1-1-0 away0-0-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLLWWDD
Their games average 2.8 total goals this season.
From the 3 Crystal Palace and 3 Leeds United games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
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Our call on this game: 4 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Crystal Palace
+1.5
-455
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Crystal PalaceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Crystal PalaceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Crystal PalaceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Crystal Palace

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Crystal Palace vs Leeds United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineCrystal Palace @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted
2-1-3past meetings (last 6)
Home form3-5-12Away form9-6-5
past meetings, home wins2 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Leeds United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3.

Both Teams to ScoreCrystal Palace @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted
3 / 6past meetings, both scored
Leeds Unit70%Crystal Pa55%
past meetings, both scored3 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 70% of Leeds United's and 55% of Crystal Palace's recent matches.

Total GoalsCrystal Palace @ Leeds UnitedUnder +2.5 -110
54%model over %
3 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.545%past meetings avg2.8
past meetings, over 2.53 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 2.8 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them; the model prices Under at 54% here.

Crystal Palace @ Leeds United — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for Crystal Palace at Leeds United — 15 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Crystal Palace vs Leeds United in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Palace vs United, or as United vs Palace. The next scheduled game is Sunday 20 September 2026 at Elland Road. The model has generated 15 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Even at 3–3 across the last 8 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 2.8 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
15 Mar 2026Leeds United @ Crystal Palace0–0Draw
20 Dec 2025Crystal Palace @ Leeds United4–1Leeds United
9 Apr 2023Crystal Palace @ Leeds United1–5Crystal Palace
9 Oct 2022Leeds United @ Crystal Palace2–1Crystal Palace
25 Apr 2022Leeds United @ Crystal Palace0–0Draw
30 Nov 2021Crystal Palace @ Leeds United1–0Leeds United
8 Feb 2021Crystal Palace @ Leeds United2–0Leeds United
7 Nov 2020Leeds United @ Crystal Palace4–1Crystal Palace
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