On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap (-222)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the matchup paints a compelling picture for a wager on Palace to overcome the half-goal handicap. Despite their recent struggles at Selhurst Park, where they've managed just one win in their last five home matches, their defensive frailties—conceding an average of 2.2 goals—contrast sharply with Forest's own issues, as they’ve averaged just 0.8 goals in their last five away outings. Nottingham's record against Palace isn't encouraging either, with the away side losing four of their last five encounters. While Palace's xG numbers have been dismal lately, the home atmosphere could be the catalyst for a turnaround. With Nottingham's away goal-scoring woes, backing Palace to edge this one by at least a goal feels like a solid play.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: No (+100)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

When Crystal Palace hosts Nottingham Forest, the case for a "No" on both teams scoring is compelling. Crystal Palace has struggled offensively at home, averaging just 1.2 goals over their last five matches, while their defense has leaked an alarming 2.2 goals per game. The Eagles have yet to find the net in their last five home games, with a meager xG of zero. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag on the road, scoring only 0.8 goals per game lately. Their away xG also sits at zero, suggesting they haven't been creating quality chances. With Forest's record against Palace showing just one win in their last five encounters, it’s tough to see them turning the tide here. Given these trends, a low-scoring affair seems likely, making the bet on "No" for both teams to score a savvy play.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

When Crystal Palace hosts Nottingham Forest, the trends strongly favor the visitors. Palace's recent form at home has been dismal, managing just one win in their last five games while conceding an alarming average of 2.2 goals per match. Their inability to convert chances is highlighted by an average of only 1.2 goals and a concerning lack of creativity—just 0.6 assists in that stretch. Now, let’s turn our eyes to Nottingham. Despite a mixed away record, they've scored a solid 2.8 goals per game in their last five away matches. Even more telling is that they've been able to put up a respectable Expected Goals (xG) tally, showing they can threaten defenses effectively. Given Crystal Palace's struggles and Nottingham's attacking prowess, backing Forest at +0.25 seems like an astute move here.

That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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