On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the stage is set for a compelling encounter. While Palace has struggled recently, with just one win in their last five home games, they’ve shown flashes of potential—averaging a respectable 1.2 goals scored at home despite facing tough opposition that typically delivers 2.2 goals against them. Nottingham, on the other hand, has been hit-or-miss away, averaging 0.8 goals and allowing 1.4 per match. What stands out is Palace's historical dominance over Forest, with a 0-4-1 record against them in their last five encounters. With the added motivation of home support, this could be the perfect opportunity for Palace to turn the tide. The handicap of 0.5 feels reasonable, as the stats suggest that a narrow victory is well within reach, especially with Palace’s attacking prowess gradually improving. Expect them to edge this one out.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: No (+100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the trends suggest a clash where goals may be hard to come by. Palace's recent home form paints a concerning picture; they've averaged just 1.2 goals at Selhurst Park lately, while conceding 2.2 per match. Their last five encounters with Forest? A dismal 0-4-1 record. Nottingham, on the other hand, has struggled offensively as well, netting only 0.8 goals on average in their last five outings. Their away scoring rate is a mere 2.8, but when facing teams like Palace, their attack seems to fizzle. With both teams boasting low expected goals averages and a tendency to falter in front of goal, a bet on 'No' for both teams to score feels like the right call for this matchup. Expect a tightly contested affair that might not see the net ripple at all.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As we look ahead to this intriguing clash between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest, the trends reveal a significant divide. Crystal Palace's home form has been shaky, with just one win in their last five and an alarming average of 2.2 goals conceded per game at home. Their struggles are further emphasized by a dismal record against Nottingham – they haven’t beaten them in five attempts. Conversely, Nottingham Forest has shown resilience away from home, managing to score an impressive 2.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Even if their overall recent form has been mixed, their attacking prowess suggests they can exploit Palace's defensive frailties. With a 0.25 handicap in their favor, Nottingham looks poised to not only avoid defeat but potentially secure a narrow victory. Backing them here feels like a smart play given the current dynamics on both sides.
That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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