On Monday 28 September 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, there's a compelling case for taking Palace on the handicap line of 0.5. Although the Eagles have struggled recently at Selhurst Park, their home advantage is undeniable, and they're primed to snap a rough stretch. Their last five matches at home yielded just one win, but they’ve consistently managed to create opportunities, averaging 11.6 shots per game. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, has been leaky defensively, allowing an average of 2.8 goals away from home, and they’ve shown vulnerability against teams like Palace, who have historically dominated this matchup. While Crystal Palace has averaged 1.2 goals scored at home, their xG stats hint at untapped potential. Expect a determined Palace side to reclaim some home form and secure a narrow victory, making the 0.5 handicap an enticing wager.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: No (+100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace gears up to face Nottingham Forest, the trend suggests we could see a low-scoring affair. Palace has struggled at home lately, averaging just 1.2 goals in their last five matches while conceding 2.2. Their lack of creativity is evident, with an average expected goals (xG) of zero in that same stretch. Nottingham Forest, despite a slightly better away record, has managed only 0.8 goals per game on the road and has struggled to convert chances, reflected in their own xG stats. Combined with their historical record against each other—Palace hasn't won in their last five matchups against Forest—this matchup leans heavily towards a "No" for both teams to score. The defensive setups on both sides may just stifle any attacking ambitions, making a goalless draw or single-score result a distinct possibility.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to take on Nottingham Forest, recent form tells a compelling story. Palace has struggled at home, managing just one win in their last five outings, with a dismal average of 1.2 goals scored and a concerning 2.2 conceded. They’ve also failed to find their footing against Forest, recording a 0-4-1 record in their last five meetings. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has shown resilience away from home, netting an impressive 2.8 goals per game in their last five away matches, while limiting opponents to 1.4 on average. They possess a potent attacking threat, reflected in their higher shot and goal averages. With Crystal Palace's home woes and Nottingham's recent scoring prowess, backing Forest with a 0.25 handicap seems sensible. Expect the visitors to capitalize on the Eagles' defensive frailties and secure at least a draw, if not a victory.
That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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