On Friday 14 August 2026, Brisbane Lions play Gold Coast Suns in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns: Gold Coast Suns 8.5 spreads_q3, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns: Gold Coast Suns 8.5 spreads_q3 (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright footy punters, let's break down why backing Gold Coast Suns at +8.5 in the Spreads Q3 market against Brisbane Lions could be a savvy move this weekend. Looking at recent form, the Lions have been dominating at home, averaging a whopping 47.2 points margin in their last 5 games at the Gabba. Their attack is firing on all cylinders, averaging 118.4 points scored per game during this stretch. On the flip side, the Suns have struggled away from home, averaging a -36.8 points margin in their last 5 away games. However, they've been solid defensively, conceding an average of 97 points per game. Considering the Lions' scoring prowess and the Suns' defensive grit, a tight contest is on the cards. With the Suns' ability to keep games close despite their away struggles, backing them with the points cushion seems like a smart play here.
Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns: Gold Coast Suns 7.5 spreads_q4 (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy fans, let's dive into this intriguing Brisbane Lions vs. Gold Coast Suns showdown at the Gabba. The Lions have been roaring at home lately, averaging a whopping 118.4 points in their last five games there. With an average margin of 47.2, they've been dominant. However, don't count out the Suns just yet. While their away form hasn't been stellar, averaging only 60.2 points per game on the road, they've shown resilience, keeping games closer than expected. The Suns might struggle to contain the Lions' firepower, but they have the grit to keep it competitive. Considering the Suns' ability to hang tough and the Lions' tendency to run away with it at home, backing Gold Coast at +7.5 in the Spreads Q4 market seems like a shrewd play. Expect a hard-fought contest with the Suns snagging a goal late to make this one tighter than expected.
Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns: Gold Coast Suns 7.5 spreads_q2 (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright footy fans, let's dissect this enticing matchup between the Brisbane Lions and the Gold Coast Suns at the Gabba. The Lions have been roaring at home lately, averaging a formidable 118.4 points per game in their last five clashes. However, their defensive steel has shown some cracks, conceding an average of 71.2 points. On the flip side, the Suns have been struggling on the road, managing just 60.2 points per game while leaking an average of 97 points. Considering the Lions' offensive prowess and the Suns' defensive vulnerabilities away from home, a tight contest is on the cards. With the Suns being handed a 7.5-point cushion in the spreads market, it's worth backing them to keep this one within reach. The Lions may snag the win, but expect the Suns to put up a fight and cover the spread. So, back the Gold Coast Suns +7.5 for a tantalizing punt on this AFL showdown.
That is how our model reads Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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