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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 21, 5:10AM UTC

Our model graded 14 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Over 2.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $129.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Tue 27 May 2025, 10:35PM
9
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 2.5 Team Total -345

The model graded 14 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $129 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 27 May 2025, 10:35PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win96.4%
The price says77.5%
Best price-345
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 2.5 High96% chance -345
Team Total Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 97% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 95% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 97% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 95% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

St. Louis Cardinals and Baltimore Orioles last met on Tue 27 May 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 164 of 342 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 20
Bryce Miller Over 2.5
Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $120
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
9.5
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Quinn Mathews SP

Baltimore Orioles

  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Brandon Young SP
Availability updated Sep 20, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Andre Pallante STL Pitcher - Strikeouts
Jorge Mateo BAL Batter - Stolen Bases
Andre Pallante STL Pitcher - Walks
Andre Pallante STL Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Dylan Carlson BAL Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA4.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L51-4

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA4.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L51-4

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
4.9runs we expect
L5 RF4.4L5 RA4.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L51-4

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Baltimore Orioles — 9 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–3MILHome
L0–1MILHome
L5–6MILHome
W7–1NYMAway
W7–5NYMAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3WSHHome
L1–9WSHHome
L5–8WSHHome
L5–6SFHome
L3–10SFHome

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 2, St. Louis Cardinals won 3.

DateBaltimore OriolesSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Aug 2757St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2687Baltimore Orioles
Aug 25131Baltimore Orioles
Mar 927St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 6210St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Luis Robert Jr. CFOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Baltimore Orioles Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is a solid choice given the team's recent performance and the St. Louis Cardinals' defensive statistics. The Orioles have a strong recent home record, winning 4 of their last 5 games. They've also been scoring an average of 5.6 runs in their last 5 home games, which is significantly higher than the betting line of 0.5. In terms of batting, the Orioles have averaged 6.6 hits in their last 5 home games, indicating a good offensive performance. On the other hand, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 4.4 runs in their last 5 away games, which aligns with the Orioles' scoring ability. Given these statistics, it's highly likely that the Orioles will score more than 0.5 runs in the game.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 27 May 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 9 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 15 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 11–4 across the last 15 meetings · these games average 9.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–5St. Louis Cardinals
26 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–8Baltimore Orioles
25 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals1–13Baltimore Orioles
9 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–2St. Louis Cardinals
6 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles2–10St. Louis Cardinals
28 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles4–6St. Louis Cardinals
27 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles4–7St. Louis Cardinals
26 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles5–2Baltimore Orioles
22 May 2024Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals5–4St. Louis Cardinals
21 May 2024Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals3–1St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 15 meetings on file.

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