Here are the 6 WNBA player props our model likes most for September 23, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
The
New York Liberty and
Atlanta Dream are both on a roll, winning most of their recent games. However, when they face each other,
Jonquel Jones has not been the playmaker you'd expect. At home, she averages fewer assists than you might think. This game could be tough for her to rack up those assists. With the Liberty's strong defense and her focus on scoring and rebounding, the chances are good that Jonquel won't hit more than 2.5 assists. Keep in mind, while she's been great in other areas, this specific number looks tricky for her to reach tonight.
Veronica Burton has been on fire for the
Golden State Valkyries, helping them win six games in a row. She's playing alongside a strong team that scores over 82 points a game. With so much scoring, she has plenty of chances to rack up assists, especially against the
Portland Fire, who have struggled lately. The Fire have only won one of their last six games, and their tough schedule hasn't helped. While Burton is likely to shine, the biggest risk is that the game could be close, which sometimes leads to fewer opportunities to assist. Still, the numbers show she has a good chance to go over 5.5 assists today. For
Breanna Stewart to get under 3.5 assists tonight, she needs to limit her passing while focusing on scoring. She tends to average more assists at night, but with New York Liberty's recent strong form, they might not require her to play as much of a playmaker. They've won 7 of their last 10 games, which shows they're in good shape. On the other hand, Atlanta Dream has also been impressive, winning 8 of their last 10. This matchup could be closer than expected, and with both teams performing well, there's a real chance Stewart might not need to dish out many assists. If the game turns into a scoring battle, she may prioritize shooting over passing, making this pick a solid choice.
Allisha Gray — over 4.5 rebounds + assists at $1.42
Our confidence: LEAN. We rate this one's chances higher than today's price does.
Jessica Shepard has been playing well, but she might struggle to reach more than 5 assists against the
Dallas Wings. The Wings are on a hot streak, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and they've been especially strong lately, winning all of their last 6. With the way they're scoring, Shepard might end up focusing more on shooting than passing. The
Seattle Storm have faced a tough schedule, which could make it harder for Shepard to find her teammates for assists. Since the Wings are playing so well, there's a concrete risk that Shepard won't get enough chances to assist. Betting on her to have under 5.5 assists makes sense given the current situation.
Kelsey Mitchell has been scoring well lately, but the matchup against the
Minnesota Lynx could be tough for her. Both teams are in good shape, with Indiana winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 97 points on average. However, Mitchell might struggle to hit her usual three-pointers today, especially since the Lynx have been strong on defense. Even with both teams playing well, Kelsey has a high chance of making fewer than 3.5 three-pointers. The Lynx's ability to limit long-range shots could make a difference. Given how close both teams are in recent performance, this could be a nail-biter, but it feels like a solid pick to go under on her three-pointers.