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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Tue 27 Oct 2026, 9:40 AM ET
Carlos Alcaraz
VS
Karen Khachanov

Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 11 markets for Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov and backs Karen Khachanov 3 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $266.

10
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Karen Khachanov
with a 3-game head start
Karen Khachanov 3 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$26.60Best price+166
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.2%
The price says36.2%

The model graded 11 markets for Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $266 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 27 Oct 2026, 9:40 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Karen Khachanov 3 Long-shot34% chance +166
Spread Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean59% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 81% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov last met on Tue 27 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Karen Khachanov
+3
+166
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Karen KhachanovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Karen KhachanovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Karen KhachanovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Karen KhachanovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Carlos Alcaraz

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Karen Khachanov

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesKaren Khachanov vs Carlos AlcarazNo line posted
59%model under %
1.87fair price
PickUnder 22.5Model58.6%Fair1.87Odds-127

Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 22.5 at -127, fair price 1.87; our model makes it 58.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapKaren Khachanov vs Carlos AlcarazNo line posted
2.76fair price
PickKaren Khachanov 3Model42.7%Fair2.76Odds+166

Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Karen Khachanov 3 at +166, fair price 2.76; our model makes it 42.7% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Carlos Alcaraz @ Karen Khachanov — what the model found

Our model graded 11 betting markets for Carlos Alcaraz at Karen Khachanov — 10 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 11 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 10 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Carlos Alcaraz @ Karen Khachanov — model preview

Karen Khachanov v Carlos Alcaraz, 28 October 2026. Top of the list: Carlos Alcaraz to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On October 27, 2026 our model has run Carlos Alcaraz at Karen Khachanov and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Carlos Alcaraz to win the match (-435), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Alcaraz vs Khachanov, or as Khachanov vs Alcaraz. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 27 October 2026. The model has generated 10 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 27 Oct 2026Carlos Alcaraz beat Karen Khachanov 6-4 7-6 at Vienna Open
  • 19 Feb 2026Carlos Alcaraz beat Karen Khachanov 6-7 6-4 6-3 at Qatar Exxon Mobil Open
  • 13 May 2025Carlos Alcaraz beat Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-5 at Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Carlos Alcaraz: last 5 matches

  1. 8 Nov 2026Wonvs Ben Shelton 7-6 7-5BNP Paribas Masters · Final · Hard
  2. 7 Nov 2026Wonvs Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4BNP Paribas Masters · Semifinals · Hard
  3. 6 Nov 2026Wonvs Taylor Fritz 6-7 7-5 6-3BNP Paribas Masters · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 5 Nov 2026Wonvs Matteo Berrettini not playedBNP Paribas Masters · 3rd Round · Hard
  5. 4 Nov 2026Wonvs Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-3BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard

Karen Khachanov: last 5 matches

  1. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Nuno Borges 6-3 6-4BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 2 Nov 2026Wonvs Denis Shapovalov 6-3 6-7 1-4 stopped earlyBNP Paribas Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 27 Oct 2026Lostvs Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 7-6Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 23 Oct 2026Lostvs Alexander Bublik 4-6 7-6 7-6Almaty Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  5. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs Tomas Machac 6-2 4-6 7-6Almaty Open · 2nd Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz match? Carlos Alcaraz won their last meeting 6-4 7-6 at Vienna Open on 27 October 2026.

How have Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov done lately? Carlos Alcaraz won 4 and lost 0 of the last 4 matches we hold. Karen Khachanov won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 7 meetings
Carlos Alcaraz 7–0 across the last 7 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
27 Oct 2026Carlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6Vienna Open · 1st RoundHard
19 Feb 2026Carlos Alcaraz6-7 6-4 6-3Qatar Exxon Mobil Open · QuarterfinalsHard
13 May 2025Carlos Alcaraz6-3 3-6 7-5Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 4th RoundClay
30 Sep 2024Carlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2China Open · QuarterfinalsHard
3 May 2023Carlos Alcaraz6-4 7-5Mutua Madrid Open · QuarterfinalsClay
22 Jul 2022Carlos Alcaraz6-0 6-2European Open · QuarterfinalsClay
29 May 2022Carlos Alcaraz6-1 6-4 6-4French Open · 4th RoundClay
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