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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Wed 28 Oct 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Daniil Medvedev
VS
Daniel Merida Aguilar

Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 7 markets for Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar and backs Daniel Merida Aguilar 3 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $290.

6
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Daniel Merida Aguilar
with a 3-game head start
Daniel Merida Aguilar 3 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$29.00Best price+190
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.0%
The price says33.2%

The model graded 7 markets for Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $290 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 28 Oct 2026, 8:30 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Daniel Merida Aguilar 3 Long-shot37% chance +190
Spread Members only Lean40% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean53% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 79% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Daniil Medvedev and Daniel Merida Aguilar last met on Wed 28 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Daniel Merida Aguilar
+4
+102
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Daniil Medvedev

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil MedvedevNo line posted
53%model under %
2.01fair price
PickUnder 21.5Model52.8%Fair2.01Odds-115

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 21.5 at -115, fair price 2.01; our model makes it 52.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapDaniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil MedvedevNo line posted
56%model cover %
2.10fair price
PickDaniel Merida Aguilar 4Model56.3%Fair2.10Odds+102

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Daniel Merida Aguilar 4 at +102, fair price 2.10; our model makes it 56.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Daniil Medvedev @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Daniil Medvedev at Daniel Merida Aguilar — 6 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Daniil Medvedev @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — model preview

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev, 28 October 2026. Top of the list: Daniil Medvedev to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On October 28, 2026 our model has run Daniil Medvedev at Daniel Merida Aguilar and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Daniil Medvedev to win the match (-345), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Medvedev vs Aguilar, or as Aguilar vs Medvedev. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 28 October 2026. The model has generated 6 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 28 Oct 2026Daniil Medvedev beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 7-6 6-1 at Vienna Open
  • 1 Jul 2026Daniil Medvedev beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-6 6-3 7-5 6-2 at Wimbledon

Daniil Medvedev: last 5 matches

  1. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Ignacio Buse 6-4 6-4BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 7-6Vienna Open · Semifinals · Hard
  3. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3Vienna Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Cameron Norrie 4-6 6-3 7-6Vienna Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Daniel Merida Aguilar 7-6 6-1Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard

Daniel Merida Aguilar: last 5 matches

  1. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Tommy Paul 6-1 6-1BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 2 Nov 2026Wonvs Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-2BNP Paribas Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-1Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Botic van de Zandschulp 1-6 6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 4 Sep 2026Lostvs Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-4 6-3US Open · 3rd Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev match? Daniil Medvedev won their last meeting 7-6 6-1 at Vienna Open on 28 October 2026.

How have Daniil Medvedev and Daniel Merida Aguilar done lately? Daniil Medvedev won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Daniel Merida Aguilar won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Daniil Medvedev 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
28 Oct 2026Daniil Medvedev7-6 6-1Vienna Open · 1st RoundHard
1 Jul 2026Daniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 7-5 6-2Wimbledon · 2nd RoundGrass
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