On Monday 19 October 2026, Sassuolo play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: Both Teams To Score: No (+135)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Sassuolo prepares to host Lazio, the stats suggest a low-scoring affair might be on the cards. Sassuolo's recent home form has been shaky, managing just 1 win in their last 5, while averaging only 1.8 goals scored per game. Their defense, letting in 2.2 per match, raises concerns. On the flip side, Lazio is in fine form away from home with a stellar 4-1 record in their last five, showcasing a solid defense that concedes a mere 0.6 goals per game on the road. With Sassuolo struggling to find the net and Lazio focusing on shutting down attacks, the likelihood of both teams scoring diminishes. Given the recent xG figures and Sassuolo's home struggles, a bet on "No" for both teams to score seems like a savvy play, especially with Lazio's strong defensive setup. Expect a tactical battle with perhaps just one team finding the net.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: Lazio Moneyline (+135)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Lazio heads to Sassuolo, the momentum heavily favors the visitors. Lazio has been a powerhouse on the road, racking up four wins in their last five away matches, outscoring opponents 1.6 to 0.6. Their offensive prowess is complemented by a robust defense that has conceded just 0.8 goals per game recently. Sassuolo, on the other hand, has struggled, managing only one win in their last five home outings and averaging 1.8 goals while allowing 2.2. They’ve also shown vulnerabilities, particularly in converting chances, with an xG that simply isn’t translating into goals. Given Lazio's current form and Sassuolo's inconsistencies, betting on Lazio to secure the win feels like a savvy move.
That is how our model reads Sassuolo v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.