On Wednesday 30 September 2026, New York Liberty play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +3 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty +3 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, and they face the Minnesota Lynx, who have also won 6 of their last 10 but just 2 of their last 6. The Liberty have faced tough teams this season, making their schedule one of the hardest in the league. They are scoring well and have a slight advantage at home, which gives them a good chance to keep the game close.
Betting on New York Liberty +3 seems smart because they are expected to keep the score tight, with our numbers suggesting they might even win by a small margin. The main risk is how close the teams are in form, and the Lynx have shown they can score a lot. But the Liberty's strong play at home makes this bet appealing. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 179 Total Points (-204)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have been doing well recently, winning 6 of their last 10 games, but they're facing a tough matchup against the Minnesota Lynx, who also have won 6 of their last 10. However, the Lynx have been scoring a lot less in their recent games. Our numbers suggest the total points for this game will be around 159, and that's a good bit under the line set at 179. One risk here is that both teams can surprise with their scoring, but overall, the odds lean toward a lower-scoring game. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.