On Saturday 3 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 160.5 Total Points, priced at -109 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
The odds for this game suggest the total points will stay under 160.5, which seems reasonable given how both teams are currently playing. The Golden State Valkyries have been solid lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough opponents and managed to keep scores lower than usual, which is a big plus for this bet. The Dallas Wings are scoring a lot, but they've had some ups and downs too. With both teams having a closely matched recent record, this could be a tight contest. The Valkyries have a good defense, and our numbers estimate a combined total of around 157.4 points, making it likely that they won't hit the over. A concrete risk is the Wings' scoring ability, which could push totals higher if they get hot. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dallas Wings +8 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and 5 of their last 6. They've faced tough teams, but the Dallas Wings are also strong, with 7 wins in their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 89.2 points per game this season. This matchup looks pretty balanced, so taking Dallas Wings with the points seems smart. With the Valkyries being favored by 8 points, that's quite a cushion for the Wings, who are playing well. The most concrete risk is how close these teams are in recent form, making it tricky to predict a blowout. The Wings have shown they can keep games close, so this bet could pay off nicely. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Cecilia Zandalasini Over 7.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Cecilia Zandalasini has been on fire lately, and the Golden State Valkyries are scoring well, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced some tough teams, which shows they can handle pressure. Meanwhile, the Dallas Wings have been strong too, winning 7 of their last 10 and scoring an impressive 89.2 points a game. This matchup feels like it could go either way, but Zandalasini has a good chance to score over 7.5 points. The most concrete risk is that both teams are playing well, so it could be a close game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kayla Thornton Under 13.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kayla Thornton is a key player for the Dallas Wings, but she faces a tough matchup against the Golden State Valkyries. Both teams are on a roll, with the Valkyries winning 8 of their last 10 games. While Thornton has been solid, the Valkyries have a strong defense that can limit scoring and assists, making it harder for her to hit those numbers. Betting on Thornton to score under 13.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems smart here. Our numbers give this pick a good chance, especially with the Valkyries' solid recent form and tough schedule. The risk is that Thornton has been known to step up in big moments, so she could surprise us. But overall, this looks like a promising bet with the current matchup dynamics. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jessica Shepard Under 9.5 Rebounds (+111)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been a solid player lately, but she might struggle to grab rebounds against the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries have won 8 of their last 10 games and are doing well at both scoring and defending. They've faced a tough schedule, making their performance even more impressive. On the other hand, the Dallas Wings have also been winning but might not provide the best matchup for Shepard. The current numbers suggest this bet on her getting under 9.5 rebounds is pretty close, and with both teams playing strong, it could go either way. Just remember, if she has an off night, that could be the difference here. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.