On Saturday 3 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 157.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 157.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries are on a hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They have been scoring well and are tough to beat, especially at home. The Dallas Wings have also been playing well, winning 7 of their last 10 and averaging nearly 90 points a game this season. Both teams have shown they can really put points on the board lately.
The bet is for over 157.5 total points in this game. Given how both teams are scoring, it feels like a solid choice. However, it's worth noting that the matchup is quite close, so there's a real chance it might not hit that total. If both teams bring their best games, we should see plenty of action on the scoreboard. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dallas Wings +7.5 on the Line (-106)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been in solid form lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 89.2 points per game this season. They have also won 4 of their last 6, showing they can compete with the best. With the Golden State Valkyries winning just 5 of their last 6, this matchup feels pretty balanced.
Taking the Wings with a spread of +7.5 is a smart choice, especially since our numbers suggest it's nearly a coin flip. One concrete risk is that the Valkyries have faced a tough schedule lately, which could give them an advantage at home. But with the Wings on a roll, they should keep this game close. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awak Kuier Over 7.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Awak Kuier has been a key player for the Dallas Wings, helping them score an impressive average of 89.2 points per game this season. With the Golden State Valkyries winning 8 of their last 10 games, they are definitely on a roll. Kuier has a good shot at going over 7.5 points, especially since both teams are in strong scoring form.
However, the risk to consider is that the Dallas Wings have faced tougher competition lately, which could affect their scoring. Still, given how well Kuier has been playing and the chances our numbers are showing, this bet feels solid. It's worth a shot to see if she can keep the momentum going at the Chase Center. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been playing well lately, but the numbers suggest she might not hit the mark for points and rebounds in this game. The Golden State Valkyries are on a hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games, while the Dallas Wings have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10. With both teams playing well, it could be a tightly contested match, making it tough for Williams to rack up high numbers.
While Gabby Williams is talented, the risk here is that the teams are close in skill, which can lead to lower overall stats for individual players. Our numbers indicate that there's a good chance she will stay under 23.5 combined points and rebounds. It's worth a shot, but remember, there's no guarantee she'll meet that mark tonight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Janelle Salaun Over 3.5 Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Janelle Salaun has been stepping up lately, helping the Golden State Valkyries win 8 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have had a tough schedule, facing clubs with a decent record, which shows they can compete at a high level. With Salaun grabbing rebounds and the team in good form, betting on her to get over 3.5 rebounds feels like a solid choice.
On the other side, the Dallas Wings are also playing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, they might be a little tired traveling to face the Valkyries at the Chase Center. This matchup is pretty close, but Salaun's recent performance gives her a good shot to hit that rebound mark. Just remember, injuries or off nights can always change the outcome. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.