On Sunday 27 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 163.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 163.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and averaging almost 96 points a game in their last 20. They've shown they can score big, especially at home. The Washington Mystics are also in great form, winning 8 of their last 10 and putting up around 84 points a game. With both teams in such good scoring shape, it's likely we'll see plenty of points.
Betting on the total points to go over 163.5 seems smart since our numbers suggest a combined total around 167.2. The only real risk is that both teams might have a slower game, but given their recent scoring, that seems unlikely. Let's hope for an exciting shootout! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 15.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Angel Reese has been on fire lately, helping the Atlanta Dream rack up impressive scores. The team is scoring an average of nearly 96 points in their last 20 games, which shows how well they are performing. With that kind of offensive power, it's likely Reese will find plenty of opportunities to score.
On the other hand, the Washington Mystics are also playing well, but they haven't faced a team like the Dream recently. The biggest risk here is that both teams are winning a lot, which means it could be a close game. Still, with the way Reese has been playing, betting on her to score over 15.5 points seems like a solid choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Allisha Gray Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Allisha Gray has been a key player for the Atlanta Dream, but the matchup against the Washington Mystics could be tough. Both teams are doing well lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games. However, the Mystics have a solid defense, and with Gray likely facing tight coverage, her points and assists may not reach the mark.
With the Mystics giving up fewer points and making it hard for players to score, betting on Gray to go under 20.5 combined points and assists seems like a smart choice. The most concrete risk here is that she can surprise us with a big game, but overall, our numbers suggest this is a good bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 18.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Sonia Citron has been playing well, but she might struggle to hit her numbers against the Atlanta Dream. The Dream have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring a ton of points. They're also pretty good at grabbing rebounds, which could limit Citron's chances to rack up her stats.
While Citron has shown she can score and rebound, the matchup against the Dream might make it tough to reach 18.5 combined points and rebounds. The Mystics and Dream are both hot right now, but this game could be close. Keep in mind that the Dream have been strong defensively, and that could spell trouble for Citron's totals today. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.