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Model picks & player props
Atlanta Dream
VS
New York Liberty

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 21, 2:51AM UTC

Our model graded 41 markets for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty and backs Under 187.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $136.

WNBA
Barclays Center, New York
Indoor
Tue 22 Sep 2026, 12:00AM
12
Game markets graded
29
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 187.5 Alt Total Points -278

The model graded 41 markets for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $136 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 22 Sep 2026, 12:00AM at Barclays Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win89.8%
The price says70.2%
Best price-278
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 187.5 High90% chance -278
Alt Total Points Members only High91% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High61% chance Members
Alt Spread Members only High67% chance Members
Rebounds (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 85% Members
Rebounds × 3 props Highup to 71% Members
Assists (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 68% Members
Pts+Ast × 2 props Highup to 71% Members
Pts+Reb+Ast × 3 props Highup to 70% Members
3-Pointers × 1 prop Highup to 75% Members
3-Pointers (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 75% Members
Points (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 62% Members
Pts+Reb × 3 props Highup to 64% Members
Assists × 3 props Highup to 64% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Atlanta Dream are the model's favourite to beat New York Liberty, with a 61% chance to win. Kick-off Tue 22 Sep, 12:00AM at Barclays Center. Best bet: Under 187.5 at -278.
How they've been scoring this season
Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty
Won-lost28-1425-16
Points scored per game91.589.6
Points allowed per game85.087.0
On the road / at home13-7 away14-6 at home
Last 5 gamesWLWWWLWLWW
Their games average 176.5 total points this season.
From the 42 Atlanta Dream and 41 New York Liberty games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 25 bookmakers compared
Winner
Atlanta Dream1.89-113Kalshi
Liberty2.05+105Sportsbet
Total points
Over178.51.95-105ESPN BET
Under178.51.93-108LowVig

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty odds by bookmaker

25 books · best price in green
BookAtlanta Dream winLiberty winLiberty +1.5Over 178.5Under 178.5
Bally Bet1.82-1222.00+1001.87-1151.93-1081.88-114
BetMGM1.83-1202.00+1001.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
betPARX1.82-1222.00+1001.87-1151.93-1081.88-114
BetRivers1.82-1222.00+1001.85-1181.93-1081.88-114
Bovada1.83-1202.00+1001.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
DraftKings1.82-1222.02+1021.91-1101.95-1051.87-115
ESPN BET1.83-1202.00+1001.91-1101.95-1051.87-115
Fanatics1.80-1252.05+1051.91-110
FanDuel1.78-1282.04+1041.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
Hard Rock Bet1.83-1202.00+1001.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
Polymarket2.02+1021.98-1021.98-1022.00+1002.00+100
ReBet1.81-1231.97-1031.88-1141.90-1111.86-116
Sportsbet1.77-1302.05+1051.90-1111.90-1111.90-111
TABtouch1.82-1222.00+1001.83-1201.91-1101.85-118

Since the market opened: Liberty to win opened 1.95, best now 2.05; the over 178.5 opened 1.92, best now 2.00 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,999 of 2,686 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 20
Under 172.5
Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $245
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
188.5
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta DreamMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta DreamAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta DreamAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta DreamAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta DreamAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Dream

  • Brionna Jones FOut

New York Liberty

  • Satou Sabally FOut
  • Elizabeth Balogun GOut
Availability updated Sep 20, 10:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Brionna Jones, Satou Sabally and Elizabeth Balogun.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Angel Reese ATL Rebounds (Alt)
Angel Reese ATL Rebounds
DeWanna Bonner ATL Rebounds (Alt)
Allisha Gray ATL Assists (Alt)
Rhyne Howard ATL Pts+Ast

+ 29 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty — what the model found

Our model graded 41 betting markets for Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty — 12 on the game itself and 29 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded
29
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 41 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 40 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty — recent results

New York Liberty have won 3 of their last 5 games; Atlanta Dream have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Liberty — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W93–81MINAway
W85–66CHIHome
L60–79GSHome
W109–102INDHome
L86–93CHIAway
Atlanta Dream — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W106–81CHIHome
W103–59CONHome
W89–81MINHome
L83–101PORHome
W78–71LAAway

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New York Liberty won 1, Atlanta Dream won 0.

DateNew York LibertyAtlanta DreamWinner
Jun 1110490New York Liberty

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Liberty
PlayerStatus
Satou Sabally FOUT
Elizabeth Balogun GOUT
Atlanta Dream
PlayerStatus
Brionna Jones FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Dream vs Liberty, or as Liberty vs Dream. The next scheduled game is Tuesday 22 September 2026 at Barclays Center. The model has generated 12 game picks and 29 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
New York Liberty 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
11 Jun 2026New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream90–104New York Liberty
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