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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Tue 27 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Sam Houston State Bearkats
VS
Missouri State Bears

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 40 markets for Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears and backs Over 51 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $193.

17
Game markets graded
23
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 51 total points
Over 51 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.8%
The price says49.7%

The model graded 40 markets for Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 27 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 51 Lean48% chance -108
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean55% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
Passing TDs × 2 props Highup to 100% Members
Completions × 2 props Highup to 100% Members
Receptions × 5 props Highup to 90% Members
Receiving Yards × 9 props Highup to 71% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 70% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 67% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Sam Houston State Bearkats and Missouri State Bears last met on Tue 27 Oct 2026: Missouri State Bears won 24-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
51
+ 16 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sam Houston State Bearkats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Missouri State Bears

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Henry Belin IV Missouri State Passing TDs
Henry Belin IV Missouri State Completions
Chris Reed Sam Houston Receptions
Grady O'Neill Sam Houston Receptions
Isaiah Myers Missouri State Receptions

+ 23 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears — what the model found

Our model graded 40 betting markets for Sam Houston State Bearkats at Missouri State Bears — 17 on the game itself and 23 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

17
Game markets graded
23
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 40 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears — model preview

Missouri State Bears v Sam Houston State Bearkats, 28 October 2026. Top of the list: Missouri State Bears -5.5 on the Line. Here is why, in plain English.

On Wednesday 28 October 2026, Missouri State Bears play Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Missouri State Bears -5.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Missouri State Bears -5.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Wednesday 28 October 2026, Missouri State Bears host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Missouri State Bears -5.5 Point Spread. On this line Missouri State Bears give up 5.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 5.5. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at MyBookie. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Bearkats vs Bears, or as Bears vs Bearkats. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 27 October 2026. The model has generated 17 game picks and 23 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 27 Oct 2026Missouri State Bears beat Sam Houston State Bearkats 24-3 at home

Sam Houston State Bearkats: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Jacksonville State Gamecocks 14-47
  2. 27 Oct 2026Lostat Missouri State Bears 3-24
  3. 21 Oct 2026Lostvs New Mexico State Aggies 24-30
  4. 14 Oct 2026Lostvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 3-16
  5. 8 Oct 2026Lostat Liberty Flames 3-35

Missouri State Bears: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Florida International Panthers 20-23
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Sam Houston State Bearkats 24-3
  3. 20 Oct 2026Lostat Delaware Blue Hens 38-61
  4. 14 Oct 2026Wonvs Kennesaw State Owls 24-21
  5. 8 Oct 2026Lostat Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 13-34

Quick answers

Who won the last Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston State Bearkats game? Missouri State Bears won their last meeting 24-3 on 27 October 2026.

How have Sam Houston State Bearkats and Missouri State Bears done lately? Sam Houston State Bearkats won 0 and lost 5 of the last 5 results we hold. Missouri State Bears won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears: the season so far

From every final score this season

Sam Houston State Bearkats are 1-8 this season and Missouri State Bears are 3-6. Missouri State Bears are 3-1 at home. Sam Houston State Bearkats are 0-5 on the road. Missouri State Bears score 23.9 points a game and let in 30.0. Sam Houston State Bearkats score 17.6 and let in 27.6. Missouri State Bears games have averaged 54 points in total; Sam Houston State Bearkats games have averaged 45. Sam Houston State Bearkats have lost their last 6.

SeasonSam Houston State BearkatsMissouri State Bears
Won-lost1-83-6
At home1-33-1
On the road0-50-5
Points scored a game17.623.9
Points let in a game27.630.0
Points scored at home25.830.0
Points scored away11.019.0
Against winning sides0-40-2
Current runLost 6Lost 1
Biggest win59-0 vs Nicholls Colonels48-14 vs Lindenwood Lions
Heaviest loss49-14 at Texas Tech Red Raiders50-0 at Texas A&M Aggies

Teams they have both played

  • Against Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Missouri State Bears lost 13-34 on the road; Sam Houston State Bearkats lost 3-16 at home.

Quick answers

How are Missouri State Bears doing this season? Missouri State Bears are 3-6 this season: 3-1 at home and 0-5 on the road.

How many points do Sam Houston State Bearkats score a game? Sam Houston State Bearkats score 17.6 points a game this season and let in 27.6, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Missouri State Bears 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Wed 28 Oct 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats at Missouri State Bears: Missouri State Bears won 24-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Oct 2026Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears24–3Missouri State Bears
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